• 主题
高级搜索  >
历史搜索 清空历史
首页> 外文期刊>International journal of sustainable transportation >Assessing demand by urban consumers for plug-in electric vehicles under future cost and technological scenarios
【24h】

Assessing demand by urban consumers for plug-in electric vehicles under future cost and technological scenarios

机译：在未来的成本和技术情景下评估城市消费者对插电式电动汽车的需求

获取原文
获取原文并翻译 | 示例
       
页面导航
  • 摘要
  • 著录项
  • 相似文献
  • 相关主题

摘要

Plug-in electric vehicles (PEVs) are not currently being sold in the United States at rates sufficient to meet the stated goals of vehicle manufacturers or the federal government. Although touted as able to help mitigate a range of public problems-including climate change, oil insecurity, and urban air pollution-PEVs face numerous barriers to commercialization. Research and development activities are under way that may overcome some of the key disadvantages of the current generation of PEVs. This analysis employs a survey-based discrete-choice exercise with 961 potential new vehicle purchasers in large US cities to assess how consumer demand might change with various breakthroughs in PEV technology. Respondents are presented with different price and technology scenarios and are asked to choose which of four powertrains they are most likely to purchase: a gasoline vehicle, a conventional hybrid, a plug-in hybrid electric vehicle (PHEV), or a battery electric vehicle (BEV). A multinomial logit is used to assess the relative impact that improvements in different attributes have on demand for each vehicle powertrain. When vehicles were presented with their current attributes, the conventional hybrid is the favored option. Under the breakthrough technology scenario that brings all vehicle powertrains into parity with gasoline vehicles along dimensions of cost, driving range, and recharging times, 44% of respondents state intent to purchase a BEV, which makes it the most frequently selected option. Public policy implications are discussed.
机译：目前，在美国，插电式电动汽车（PEV）的销售价格不足以满足汽车制造商或联邦政府规定的目标。尽管被吹捧为能够缓解一系列公共问题，包括气候变化，石油不安全和城市空气污染，但电动汽车面临着许多商业化障碍。正在进行的研发活动可能会克服当前PEV的一些关键缺点。这项分析采用了基于调查的离散选择方法，在美国大城市中有961位潜在的新车购买者来评估消费者需求随着PEV技术的各种突破而可能如何变化。为受访者提供不同的价格和技术方案，并要求他们选择他们最有可能购买的四种动力总成：汽油车，常规混合动力车，插电式混合动力电动车（PHEV）或电池电动车（ BEV）。多项式logit用于评估不同属性的改进对每种车辆动力总成需求的相对影响。当车辆具有其当前属性时，常规混合动力车是最受欢迎的选择。在突破性的技术情景下，在成本，行驶里程和充电时间等维度上，所有车辆动力总成均与汽油车持平，有44％的受访者表示有意购买BEV，这使其成为最常用的选择。讨论了公共政策的含义。

著录项

相似文献

  • 外文文献
  • 中文文献
  • 专利
获取原文

客服邮箱：kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备：11010802029741号 ICP备案号：京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有

  • 客服微信

  • 服务号