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The dynamics of credit reallocation: South Korea's post-crisis experience

机译:信贷重新分配的动态:韩国危机后的经历

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摘要

This paper explores the driving forces behind the dynamic movements of credit reallocation using quarterly Korean non-financial firm data from 1999:Q4 to 2014:Q2. Using structural vector autoregressive models, this paper uncovers evidence that aggregate shocks play a dominant role in driving fluctuations in credit growth, while allocative shocks play a major role in driving fluctuations in credit reallocation, particularly loan reallocation. I further investigate the driving forces from an industry perspective using a Bayesian dynamic latent factor model. The common factor that explains common movements across manufacturing industries moves in accordance with gross loan reallocation. However, the factor plays the least important role in driving fluctuations of credit reallocation, while sectoral or idiosyncratic disturbances are the driving forces behind fluctuations in credit reallocation intensity. The findings imply that heterogeneity in industrial credit market dynamics is a key source of the evolution of credit reallocation.
机译:本文利用1999年第4季度至2014年第2季度的韩国非金融公司季度数据,探索了信贷重新分配动态变化背后的驱动力。使用结构矢量自回归模型,本文发现证据表明,总冲击在驱动信贷增长波动中起主要作用,而分配冲击在驱动信贷分配(尤其是贷款分配)波动中起主要作用。我将使用贝叶斯动态潜在因子模型从行业角度进一步研究驱动力。解释制造业之间共同变动的共同因素是根据总贷款再分配而变化的。但是,该因素在驱动信贷重新分配的波动中起着最不重要的作用,而部门性或特质性扰动是信贷重新分配强度的波动背后的驱动力。研究结果表明,工业信贷市场动态中的异质性是信贷重新分配演变的关键来源。

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  • 来源
    《Japan and the World Economy》 |2018年第12期|57-70|共14页
  • 作者

    Junghwan Hyun;

  • 作者单位

    Division of International Trade, Kwangwoon University;

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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
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