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Happiness before and after an election: An analysis based on a daily survey around Japan's 2009 election

机译:选举前后的幸福感:根据围绕2009年日本大选进行的每日调查得出的分析

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This paper investigates whether the Japanese voters became happy and/or unhappy due to the results of the General Election in 2009. We conducted a daily web survey for seven days before and after the election, obtaining 1068 responses. Estimating a fixed effects model, we found that among those whose expectation differed from the reality, supporters of the Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ), the winner, became significantly happier, and supporters of the Liberal Democratic Party of Japan (LDP) and New Komeito, the losers, became significantly unhappier on the day following the election. However, happiness returned to the previous level in one or two days, implying people adapted to the news very quickly. On the other hand, the happiness level of those whose expectation of the election results were realized did not change. In a word, only unexpected results matter. Dividing those who support the policies of DPJ into two groups, those who expect material benefits from the victory of DPJ and those who do not, the obtained results suggested that the reason why the supporters of the winner (DPJ) felt happy was not because they obtained material benefits from the change of government.
机译:本文调查了日本选民是否由于2009年大选的结果而感到高兴和(或)不满。我们在选举前后进行了为期7天的每日网络调查,获得了1068份回复。估计固定效应模型后,我们发现,在期望与现实不符的那些国家中,获胜者日本民主党(DPJ)的支持者变得更加快乐,日本自由民主党(LDP)和新民主党的支持者输家Komeito在选举后的第二天变得非常不高兴。但是,幸福感在一两天内又回到了以前的水平,这意味着人们很快适应了新闻。另一方面,实现了对选举结果的期望的人们的幸福感没有改变。总之,只有意想不到的结果才重要。将支持DPJ政策的人分为两组,分别是期望从DPJ的胜利中获得实质利益的人和不支持DPJ的人,获得的结果表明,获胜者(DPJ)的支持者感到高兴的原因不是因为他们从政府更迭中获得了物质利益。

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