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Happiness before and after an election: An analysis based on a daily survey around Japan's 2009 election

机译：选举前后的幸福：基于日本2009年选举的日常调查的分析

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摘要

This paper investigates whether the Japanese voters became happy and/or unhappy due to the results of the General Election in 2009. We conducted a daily web survey for seven days before and after the election, obtaining 1068 responses. Estimating a fixed effects model, we found that among those whose expectation differed from the reality, supporters of the Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ), the winner, became significantly happier, and supporters of the Liberal Democratic Party of Japan (LDP) and New Komeito, the losers, became significantly unhappier on the day following the election. However, happiness returned to the previous level in one or two days, implying people adapted to the news very quickly. On the other hand, the happiness level of those whose expectation of the election results were realized did not change. In a word, only unexpected results matter. Dividing those who support the policies of DPJ into two groups, those who expect material benefits from the victory of DPJ and those who do not, the obtained results suggested that the reason why the supporters of the winner (DPJ) felt happy was not because they obtained material benefits from the change of government.
机译：本文调查了日本选民是否因2009年大选结果而变得愉快和/或不快乐。我们在选举前后进行了每日七天的日常网络调查，获取1068年回应。估计固定效果模型，我们发现，其中期望与现实不同，日本民主党（DPJ），获奖者，胜利者，日本自由民主党的支持者（LDP）和新的Komeito，失败者，在选举后一天变得非常不幸。然而，幸福在一天或两天内返回前一级，暗示人们非常快速地适应新闻。另一方面，实现了那些期望选举结果的人的幸福水平并没有改变。总之，只有意想不到的结果。将那些支持DPJ政策的人分为两组，那些预期物质效益的人从DPJ的胜利和那些没有，所获得的结果表明，获胜者（DPJ）的支持者感到高兴的原因不是因为他们获得了政府变革的物质效益。

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