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Demographics and interest rates in Asia

机译:亚洲的人口统计和利率

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摘要

Demographic developments have been regarded as one important cause of the long-term movement in global interest rates. This paper provides empirical evidence of the relationship between demographics and interest rates over a wide sample of advanced and emerging market economies. It also finds that capital account openness limits the direct sensitivity of a country's interest rates to its own demographics. The results suggest that future demographic developments will continue to apply downward pressure on the interest rates in Asia which foresees a rapid aging.
机译:人口发展被认为是全球利率长期变化的重要原因。本文提供的经验证据表明,在广泛的先进和新兴市场经济体样本中,人口与利率之间的关系。它还发现,资本账户开放度限制了一国利率对其本国人口的直接敏感性。结果表明,未来的人口发展将继续对亚洲的利率施加下行压力,因为亚洲的利率预计将迅速老龄化。

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