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Demographics and interest rates in Asia

机译:亚洲人口统计和利率

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摘要

Demographic developments have been regarded as one important cause of the long-term movement in global interest rates. This paper provides empirical evidence of the relationship between demographics and interest rates over a wide sample of advanced and emerging market economies. It also finds that capital account openness limits the direct sensitivity of a country's interest rates to its own demographics. The results suggest that future demographic developments will continue to apply downward pressure on the interest rates in Asia which foresees a rapid aging.
机译:人口发展被视为全球利率长期运动的一个重要原因。本文提供了人口统计数据与利率之间的经验证据,在广泛的先进和新兴市场经济体中的利率之间的关系。它还发现,资本账户开放限制了国家利率对自己的人口统计数据的直接敏感性。结果表明,未来的人口发展将继续对亚洲利率的下行压力施加下降,预计会迅速衰老。

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