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Measuring Genuine Progress: An Example from the UN Millennium Development Goals

机译：测量真实进展：联合国千年发展目标的一个例子

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摘要

Proposals for incorporating information on the quality of human, social, and environmental conditions in more authentic and comprehensive versions of the Gross National Product (GNP) or Gross Domestic Product (GDP) date back to the foundations of econometrics. Typically treated as external to markets, these domains have lately been objects of renewed interest. Calls for accountability and transparency have expanded to include the now topical but previously neglected economic implications of human, social, and natural capital. Clear advantages for the measurement and management of these forms of capital can be drawn from econometric criteria for identifiable models of structurally invariant relationships. The United Nation's Millennium Development Goals (MDG) provide an example application of a probabilistic model for measurement used to evaluate data quality, reduce data volume with no loss of information, estimate linear units of comparison with known uncertainties, express measures from different sets of indicators in a common metric, and frame a meaningful interpretive context. Data on 22 MDG indicators from 64 countries are scored and analyzed. Model fit was reasonable, the item hierarchy tells a meaningful story of structural invariance in economic development, and Cronbach's alpha was 0.93. The measures estimated in this study correlated over 0.90 with independently produced measures of per-capita GDP and life satisfaction. These results provide a positive demonstration of relevant methods applicable in the context of today's Sustainable Development Goals 2030 Agenda.
机译：将信息纳入更正宗和全面版本的国内产品（GNP）或国内生产总值（GDP）日期纳入经济学研究基础的建议。通常被视为市场外部，这些域最近是重新兴趣的对象。呼吁问责制和透明度已经扩大到包括现在的局部但以前被忽视的人类，社会和自然资本的经济影响。可以从经济学标准中汲取这些形式的资本的测量和管理的清晰优势，以便结构不变关系的可识别模型。联合国的千年发展目标（MDG）提供了一个用于评估数据质量的测量概率模型的示例应用，减少了没有信息损失的数据量，估计与已知的不确定性相比的线性单位，从不同的指标集中表达措施在公共指标中，框架是有意义的解释性上下文。分析了来自64个国家的22名MDG指标的数据。型号合适合理，项目层次结构讲述了经济发展中结构不变性的有意义故事，Cronbach的alpha为0.93。本研究估计的措施超过0.90，具有人均GDP和生活满意度的独立产生的措施。这些结果提供了适用于当今可持续发展目标2030议程的相关方法的正面示范。

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  • 来源
    《Journal of applied measurement》 |2019年第4期|426-449|共24页
  • 作者

    William P. FisherJR.;

  • 作者单位

    BEAR Center Graduate School of Education University of California Berkeley and Living Capital Metrics LLC;

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