A progressive rise in stomach cancer-related mortality rate during 1970-1995 in Japanese individuals over 85 years of age

Juan Sun; Xiaohui Ouyang; Hidekatsu Yoshioka; Wenli Wang; Chun Fan; Hongwei Li; Jianru Wang; Yalin Liu; Li Su; Heping Ma; Ying Liu; Yuwen Zhang; Xingguang Zhang; Xuemei Wang; Yueling Hu

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A progressive rise in stomach cancer-related mortality rate during 1970-1995 in Japanese individuals over 85 years of age

机译：1970-1995年间，年龄超过85岁的日本人与胃癌相关的死亡率逐步上升

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A large number of studies have shown a gradual fall in stomach cancer-related mortality rate during the last decade. Here we analyzed the pattern of stomach cancer-related mortality rates in Japanese aged >85 years from 1970 to 1995. We used data for the entire population of Japan. The magnitude of change was measured by relative risk and cause-elimination life tables to distinguish time trends in mortality rates of stomach cancer for individuals over 85 years of age compared with other age groups (55-84 years). In the over-85 age group, stomach cancer mortality increased from 374 in 1970 to 662 in 1995 per 100,000(77%) for males and from 232 to 296 per 100,000 (27%) for females. Using the 55-59 years group as the reference category, the relative risk increased from 2.3 to 9.9 and from 2.8 to 11.1 in men and women, respectively. The effects of mortality on life expectancy also increased 1.5 times and 1.1 times, respectively. Our results showed a rise of stomach cancer mortality in Japanese aged over 85 years, which paralleled the increase in relative risk and negative contribution to life expectancy. While the mortality of younger age groups is decreasing, the change over from increase to decrease in the over-85 age group is only just beginning.

机译：大量研究表明，过去十年来，与胃癌相关的死亡率逐渐下降。在这里，我们分析了1970年至1995年> 85岁的日本人中与胃癌相关的死亡率的模式。我们使用了整个日本人口的数据。通过相对风险和消除原因的生命表来衡量变化的幅度，以区分85岁以上个体与其他年龄组（55-84岁）相比，胃癌死亡率的时间趋势。在85岁以上的年龄组中，男性的胃癌死亡率从1970年的374上升到1995年的每100,000人中的662（77％），女性从232增至100,000人中的296（27％）。以55-59岁年龄段为参考类别，男性和女性的相对风险分别从2.3增加到9.9，从2.8增加到11.1。死亡率对预期寿命的影响也分别增加了1.5倍和1.1倍。我们的研究结果表明，日本85岁以上人群的胃癌死亡率上升，这与相对风险的增加和预期寿命的负面影响相提并论。虽然年轻年龄组的死亡率正在下降，但85岁以上年龄组从增加到减少的转变才刚刚开始。

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来源
《Journal of applied statistics》 |2009年第12期|1251-1258|共8页
作者
Juan Sun; Xiaohui Ouyang; Hidekatsu Yoshioka; Wenli Wang; Chun Fan; Hongwei Li; Jianru Wang; Yalin Liu; Li Su; Heping Ma; Ying Liu; Yuwen Zhang; Xingguang Zhang; Xuemei Wang; Yueling Hu;
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Inner Mongolia Medical College, Affiliated Hospital, Huhehaote, Inner Mongolia, China Oita University, Faculty of Medicine, Oita, Japan;

Inner Mongolia Medical College, Affiliated Hospital, Huhehaote, Inner Mongolia, China;

Oita University, Faculty of Medicine, Oita, Japan;

Inner Mongolia Medical College, Affiliated Hospital, Huhehaote, Inner Mongolia, China;

Medical College of Xiamen University,Xiamen, China;

Medical College of Xiamen University,Xiamen, China;

Oita University, Faculty of Medicine, Oita, Japan;

Oita University, Faculty of Medicine, Oita, Japan;

Inner Mongolia Medical College, Affiliated Hospital, Huhehaote, Inner Mongolia, China;

Inner Mongolia Medical College, Affiliated Hospital, Huhehaote, Inner Mongolia, China;

Inner Mongolia Medical College, Affiliated Hospital, Huhehaote, Inner Mongolia, China;

Public health School of Tianjin Medical University, Tianjin, China;

Inner Mongolia Medical College, Affiliated Hospital, Huhehaote, Inner Mongolia, China;

Inner Mongolia Medical College, Affiliated Hospital, Huhehaote, Inner Mongolia, China;

Inner Mongolia Medical College, Affiliated Hospital, Huhehaote, Inner Mongolia, China;

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正文语种 eng
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关键词
stomach cancer; mortality; age; Japan; old;

机译：胃癌;死亡;年龄;日本;旧;

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2. Gender differences in the effect of self-rated health (SRH) on all-cause mortality and specific causes of mortality among individuals aged 50 years and older [J] . Insun Ryou, Yujin Cho, Hyung-Jin Yoon, PLoS One . 2019,第12期

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3. An age-period-cohort analysis of mortality rates for stomach, colorectal, liver, and lung cancer among prefectures in Japan, 1999–2018 [J] . Tasuku Okui Environmental health and preventive medicine . 2020,第1期

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4. Design of Computer Animation of Japanese Sign Language for Hearing-Impaired People in Stomach X-Ray Inspection [C] . Kazunari Morimoto, Takao Kurokawa, Norifumi Isobe, Computers Helping People with Special Needs . 2004

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5. A spatial analysis of risk of groundwater contamination by nitrate and stomach cancer mortality in the United States [D] . Bergstrom, Lars Richard 1999

机译：美国硝酸盐污染地下水风险和胃癌死亡率的空间分析
6. An age-period-cohort analysis of mortality rates for stomach colorectal liver and lung cancer among prefectures in Japan 1999–2018 [O] . Tasuku Okui 2020

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A progressive rise in stomach cancer-related mortality rate during 1970-1995 in Japanese individuals over 85 years of age

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