Modelling Seasonally Varying Data: A Case Study for Sudden Infant Death Syndrome (SIDS)

JENNIFER A. MOONEY; IAN T. JOLLIFFE; PETER J. HELMS

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Modelling Seasonally Varying Data: A Case Study for Sudden Infant Death Syndrome (SIDS)

机译：为季节性变化的数据建模：婴儿猝死综合症（SIDS）的案例研究

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Many time series are measured monthly, either as averages or totals, and such data often exhibit seasonal variability - the values of the series are consistently larger for some months of the year than for others. A typical series of this type is the number of deaths each month attributed to SIDS (Sudden Infant Death Syndrome). Seasonality can be modelled in a number of ways. This paper describes and discusses various methods for modelling seasonality in SIDS data, though much of the discussion is relevant to other seasonally varying data. There are two main approaches, either fitting a circular probability distribution to the data, or using regression-based techniques to model the mean seasonal behaviour. Both are discussed in this paper.

机译：每个月都会测量许多时间序列，无论是平均值还是总和，这些数据通常都表现出季节性变化性-在一年中的某些月份，该序列的值始终大于其他月份。这种类型的典型序列是归因于SIDS（婴儿猝死综合症）的每月死亡人数。季节性可以通过多种方式建模。本文描述并讨论了在SIDS数据中模拟季节性的各种方法，尽管其中许多讨论与其他季节性变化的数据有关。有两种主要方法，一种是将圆形概率分布拟合到数据，或者使用基于回归的技术来模拟平均季节性行为。两者都在本文中讨论。

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来源
《Journal of applied statistics》 |2006年第5期|p.535-547|共13页
作者
JENNIFER A. MOONEY; IAN T. JOLLIFFE; PETER J. HELMS;
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作者单位

Departments of Child Health and Mathematical Sciences, University of Aberdeen, UK;

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正文语种 eng
中图分类统计学;
关键词
cardioid distribution; circular data; cosinor analysis; regression; seasonality; SIDS; von mises distribution;

机译：心形分布;圆形数据;余弦分析;回归;季节性;SIDS;冯·米斯分布;

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专利

1. Unexplained sudden death, including sudden infant death syndrome (SIDS), in the first and second years of life: Case definition and guidelines for collection, analysis, and presentation of immunization safety data [J] . Jorch Gerhard, Tapiainen Terhi, Bonhoeffer Jan, Vaccine . 2007,第31期

机译：出生后第一和第二年的原因不明的猝死，包括婴儿猝死综合症（SIDS）：病例定义和收集，分析和提供免疫安全性数据的指南
2. Study of the brainstem, particularly the arcuate nucleus, in sudden infant death syndrome (SIDS) and sudden intrauterine unexplained death (SIUD). [J] . Matturri L, Ottaviani G, Alfonsi G, The American Journal of Forensic Medicine and Pathology: official publication of the National Association of Medical Examiners . 2004,第1期

机译：研究婴儿猝死综合症（SIDS）和子宫内无法解释的猝死（SIUD）的脑干，特别是弓状核。
3. Brainstem injury in victims of sudden intrauterine death syndrome (SIUDS) and sudden infant death syndrome (SIDS) [J] . Roncati L., Manenti A., Piscioli F. Clinical and experimental obstetrics and gynecology . 2019,第3期

机译：胎儿静脉内死亡综合征（Siuds）和突发婴儿死亡综合征（SIDS）的脑干损伤
4. Skin Temperatures And Respiratory Rates In Subsequent Siblings Of Infants Who Died Of Sudden Infant Death Syndrome (SIDS) [C] . Hoppenbrouwers, T., Hodgman, . 2001

机译：死于婴儿猝死综合症（SIDS）的婴儿其后兄弟姐妹的皮肤温度和呼吸频率
5. Development of the neonatal rat as a model for sudden infant death syndrome: Cardiorespiratory effects of ethanol. [D] . Stout, Rhett Whitman. 2003

机译：作为新生婴儿猝死综合征模型的新生大鼠的发展：乙醇的心肺作用。
6. Definition of Sudden Infant Death and Sudden Intrauterine Unexpected Death Syndromes (SIDS and SIUDS) with Regard to the Anatomo-Pathological Examination [O] . Giulia Ottaviani 2016

机译：关于anatomo病理检查的婴儿猝死和突发性宫内意外死亡综合征（sIDs和sIUDs）的定义

Modelling Seasonally Varying Data: A Case Study for Sudden Infant Death Syndrome (SIDS)

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