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Does Free Trade Increase Deforestation? The Effects of Regional Trade Agreements

机译:自由贸易会加剧森林砍伐吗?区域贸易协定的影响

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This paper provides new, global evidence on the relationship between trade liberalization and deforestation. Using event studies around the enactment of regional trade agreements (RTAs) on a panel of 189 countries from 2001 to 2012, we find a large and statistically significant increase in deforestation over the 3 years following the enactment of an RTA, which coincides with an increase in agricultural land conversion. The findings are robust to a variety of controls and fixed effects. The results on deforestation and agricultural land expansion are driven by developing countries in the tropics, suggesting that trade liberalization not only increases net deforestation but may also shift deforestation into ecologically sensitive locations. We find no evidence that these effects are driven by increases in timber harvest. Our results suggest that trade liberalization efforts should be accompanied by policies to direct agricultural land expansion away from forests and sensitive habitat regions.
机译:本文提供了关于贸易自由化与森林砍伐之间关系的新的全球证据。使用2001年至2012年期间由189个国家组成的小组围绕制定区域贸易协定(RTA)进行的事件研究,我们发现在RTA颁布后的三年内,毁林现象在统计上显着增加,而这与统计数字的增加是一致的在农地转换中。该发现对各种控制和固定效果都具有鲁棒性。砍伐森林和扩大农业用地的结果是由热带地区的发展中国家推动的,这表明贸易自由化不仅增加了净砍伐森林的数量,而且还可能使砍伐森林转移到生态敏感的地区。我们没有证据表明这些影响是由木材采伐量增加所驱动的。我们的结果表明,贸易自由化的努力应辅之以直接引导农业用地远离森林和敏感栖息地的政策。

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