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A new risk factor based on equity duration

机译:基于股权期限的新风险因素

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摘要

We introduce a new risk factor linking a firms equity duration to investment opportunity risk. Low-duration firms generate short-run cash flows and face strong reinvestment risk. High-duration firms have long-run cash flows and their present value increases when discount rates decrease as a result of a deteriorating investment environment. Our empirical analysis reveals a significant return premium of low-duration stocks, confirming that investors charge a risk premium for stocks with returns that are positively related to the investment environment. Our newly introduced risk factor carries significant risk premiums in cross-sectional asset pricing tests. These premiums are robust to including further risk factors and a variety of different test specifications. Notably, our duration risk factor retains high explanatory power on the cross-section of stock returns in a model including direct measurement of the investment environment via state variable innovations. (C) 2018 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
机译:我们引入了一个新的风险因素,它将公司的股权持续时间与投资机会风险联系起来。低持续时间的公司会产生短期现金流,并面临强大的再投资风险。高持续时间的公司拥有长期现金流量,而当投资环境恶化导致贴现率降低时,它们的现值就会增加。我们的经验分析揭示了低期限股票的显着收益溢价,证实了投资者对收益与投资环境呈正相关的股票收取风险溢价。我们新引入的风险因素在跨部门资产定价测试中具有重大的风险溢价。这些溢价对于包括更多的风险因素和各种不同的测试规格而言是可靠的。值得注意的是,在包括通过状态变量创新直接测量投资环境的模型中,我们的久期风险因子在股票收益的横截面上具有很高的解释力。 (C)2018 Elsevier B.V.保留所有权利。

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