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LOCAL GOVERNMENT DEBT AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN CHINA

机译:地方政府债务和经济增长在中国

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China's local government debt (LGD) has recently become the focus of economic policy debates. However, information about LGD and its impact on economic growth in the Chinese economy is scarce. This paper attempts to present an empirical investigation of the impact of China's LGD on economic growth. It is probably the first of its kind to focus on China and thus contributes to the general literature on the relationship between government debt and economic growth. The paper first provides an assessment of LGD in China's regional economies, using recently released auditing statistics and other available secondary information. It then applies conventional growth analysis methods to examine the impact of LGD on regional growth in China. Various scenario and sensitivity analyses are also conducted, to accommodate the inadequacy and potentially poor quality of debt statistics.
机译:中国当地政府债务(LGD)最近成为经济政策辩论的重点。但是,有关LGD的信息及其对中国经济中经济增长的影响是稀缺的。本文试图提出对中国LGD对经济增长影响的实证调查。它可能是重点关注中国的第一个,从而有助于政府债务与经济增长之间的关系。本文首先在中国区域经济中提供了对LGD的评估,利用最近发布的审计统计数据和其他可用的二级信息进行了评估。然后,采用常规的生长分析方法来检查LGD对中国区域增长的影响。还进行了各种场景和敏感性分析,以适应债务统计的不足和潜在差的质量。

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