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The relationship between industrial restructuring and China's regional haze pollution: A spatial spillover perspective

机译：产业结构调整与中国区域烟霾污染的关系：空间溢出视角

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The haze phenomenon in China is becoming increasingly severe. Although some meteorological factors contribute to this phenomenon, it is ultimately linked to economic factors such as the extensive development and the unbalanced industrial structure. By using a semi-parametric global vector autoregressive model (SGVAR) and the environmental Kuznets curve, this study takes a spatial correlation perspective to investigate the influence of industrial restructuring on haze pollution and its spatial spillover effects. The empirical analysis is based on China's provincial quarterly panel data between 2001 and 2010. The results show that (1) spatial spillover characterizes China's haze pollution. That is, haze pollution in one area will aggravate haze pollution in surrounding areas; the industrial structure, dominated by heavy industry, will exacerbate haze pollution and further aggravate its spatial spillover. (2) At the regional level, the air pollution spillover effect in eastern China is stronger than that in the central and western (backward) areas. (3) There is an approximate inverse-U-shaped relationship between haze pollution and economic growth in most provinces, except Beijing and Shanghai, where haze pollution is still expected to intensify with economic growth. Therefore, in the formulation of haze pollution control policies, full consideration must be given to the impact of spatial factors, not only to promote the transfer of industrial structures in the eastern region but also to strengthen the promotion and coordination between provinces and regions and, ultimately, control pollution. (C) 2019 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
机译：中国的雾霾现象变得越来越严重。尽管某些气象因素导致了这种现象，但最终还是与诸如广泛发展和产业结构失衡之类的经济因素有关。通过使用半参数全局矢量自回归模型（SGVAR）和环境Kuznets曲线，本研究从空间相关性的角度研究了产业结构调整对烟霾污染及其空间溢出效应的影响。实证分析基于2001年至2010年中国各省的季度面板数据。结果表明：（1）空间溢出是中国雾霾污染的特征。也就是说，一个地区的霾污染将加剧周围地区的霾污染；以重工业为主导的产业结构将加剧雾霾污染，并进一步加剧其空间溢出效应。 （2）在区域层面，中国东部地区的空气污染外溢效应要强于中西部（后方）地区。 （3）除北京和上海外，大多数省份的霾污染与经济增长之间存在近似的倒U型关系，北京和上海的霾污染预计仍会随着经济增长而加剧。因此，在制定雾霾污染控制政策时，必须充分考虑空间因素的影响，不仅要促进东部地区的产业结构转移，而且要加强各省区之间的促进和协调，最终，控制污染。 （C）2019 Elsevier Ltd.保留所有权利。

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