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Regional differences in spatial spillover and hysteresis effects: A theoretical and empirical study of environmental regulations on haze pollution in China

机译:空间溢出和滞后效应的区域差异:中国雾霾污染环境规制的理论和实证研究

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Haze pollution in China has increased the incidence of carcinogenesis, pathogenicity, and premature death. The challenge is to control it sustainably through environmental regulations (ERs), rather than a temporary "political blue sky." The need to investigate the relationship between ERs and haze pollution, especially regional differences in ER spatial spillover and hysteresis effects on haze pollution, is urgent. Based on our proposed analytical framework, ER impact mechanisms on haze pollution were developed and empirically tested by static and dynamic spatial panel data models with province-level panel data from 2005 to 2015 in China. The results show that: (i) significant spatial autocorrelation exists for ERs and haze pollution, forming different aggregation clusters with dynamic evolution; (ii) ERs have strong spatial spillover and hysteresis effects on haze pollution; (iii) regional differences in spatial spillover effects verify that ERs show a linear growth relationship with haze pollution in the eastern region, an inverted "U-shaped" curve in the western region, and are ineffective in the central region; (iv) the hysteresis effect enhances ER effectiveness in the eastern region but weakens it in the western region. These findings will be of great significance for differentiated government-implemented management measures. (C) 2019 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
机译:中国的霾污染增加了致癌,致病性和过早死亡的发生率。面临的挑战是通过环境法规(ER)而不是暂时的“政治蓝天”来可持续地控制它。需要研究ER与霾污染之间的关系,尤其是ER空间溢出的区域差异以及对霾的滞后效应污染,迫在眉睫。在我们提出的分析框架的基础上,开发了ER对雾霾污染的影响机制,并通过静态和动态空间面板数据模型以及2005年至2015年中国省级面板数据进行了经验检验。结果表明:(i)ERs和霾污染存在显着的空间自相关,形成具有动态演化的不同聚集簇; (ii)ER对雾霾污染具有强烈的空间溢出和滞后作用; (iii)空间溢出效应的区域差异验证了东部区域与东部地区的烟霾污染呈线性增长关系,西部区域呈“ U形”曲线倒置,而在中部区域则无效。 (iv)滞后效应增强了东部地区的ER效力,但削弱了西部地区的ER效力。这些发现对于差异化的政府实施的管理措施将具有重要意义。 (C)2019 Elsevier Ltd.保留所有权利。

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