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The on-the-run liquidity phenomenon

机译:流动性流动现象

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摘要

We test the implications of a model of multi-asset speculative trading in which liquidity differentials between on-the-run and off-the-run U.S. Treasury bonds ensue from endowment shocks in the presence of two realistic market frictions-information heterogeneity and imperfect competition among informed traders-and a public signal. Our evidence suggests that (ⅰ) off/on-the-run liquidity differentials are economically and statistically significant, even after controlling for several of the bonds' intrinsic characteristics (such as duration, convexity, repo rates, or term premiums), and (ⅱ) off/on-the-run liquidity differentials are smaller immediately following bond auction dates, and larger when the uncertainty surrounding the ensuing auction allocations is high, when the dispersion of beliefs across informed traders is high, and when macroeconomic announcements are noisy, consistent with our model.
机译:我们测试了一种多资产投机交易模型的含义,在该模型中,在存在两种现实的市场摩擦(信息异质性和不完全竞争)的情况下,on赋冲击会导致运行中和非运行中美国国债之间的流动性差异在知情的交易员之间-以及公开信号。我们的证据表明,即使控制了债券的多个内在特征(例如期限,凸性,回购利率或定期溢价),(ⅰ)流动性/即期流动性差异在经济和统计上也很重要,并且( ⅱ)紧随债券拍卖日期之后的即期/即期流动性差异较小,而当随之而来的拍卖分配所带来的不确定性很高,知情交易者之间的信念分散性很高以及宏观经济消息嘈杂时,流动性/流动性差异就更大。与我们的模型一致。

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