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Can natural gas save lives? Evidence from the deployment of a fuel delivery system in a developing country

机译:天然气可以拯救生命吗?来自发展中国家部署燃油输送系统的证据

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There has been a widespread displacement of coal by natural gas as space heating and cooking technology in Turkey in the last two decades, triggered by the deployment of natural gas networks. We examine the impact of this development on mortality among adults and the elderly by exploiting the variation in the timing of the deployment and the intensity of expansion of gas networks across provinces using data from 2001 to 2016. The results indicate that the expansion of natural gas has caused significant reductions in mortality among both adults and the elderly. These findings are supported by our auxiliary analysis, which demonstrates that the expansion of natural gas networks might have led to a significant improvement in air quality. Furthermore, we show that the mortality gains are primarily driven by reductions in cardiorespiratory deaths, which are more likely to be due to conditions caused or exacerbated by air pollution. (C) 2018 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
机译:在过去的二十年中,由于天然气网络的部署,在土耳其,作为空间供暖和烹饪技术的天然气已大量取代煤炭。我们利用2001年至2016年的数据,通过利用部署时间和跨省天然气网络扩展强度的变化,研究了这一发展对成年人和老年人死亡率的影响。结果表明,天然气的扩张已大大降低了成年人和老年人的死亡率。这些发现得到我们辅助分析的支持,该分析表明天然气网络的扩展可能导致空气质量的显着改善。此外,我们表明死亡率的增加主要是由心肺死亡的减少所驱动,而这种死亡更可能是由于空气污染引起或加重了病情所致。 (C)2018 Elsevier B.V.保留所有权利。

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