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首页> 外文期刊>Journal of integrative Environmental Sciences >Greenhouse gas emissions and mitigation potentials in agriculture, forestry and other land use in Southeast Asia
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Greenhouse gas emissions and mitigation potentials in agriculture, forestry and other land use in Southeast Asia

机译：东南亚农业，林业和其他土地利用中的温室气体排放和减排潜力

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This study aims to estimate greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and mitigation potentials in Agriculture, Forestry and Other Land Use (AFOLU) in the Southeast Asian countries: Indonesia, Malaysia and Vietnam, up to 2030. We developed a bottom-up type model named the AFOLUB Model, which calculates GHG mitigations based on the detailed information of specific technologies. The model illustrates producer's behaviour of agricultural production and mitigation technology selection as a result of profit maximization. Using this model, we evaluated mitigations and effective technologies with high mitigation potentials in the sectors. As a result, GHG emissions in agriculture and Land Use, Land-Use Change and Forestry (LULUCF) in the three countries were 149 MtCO_2eq/year and 1.0 GtCO_2eq/year in 2005 and will increase 1.7 and 1.8 times up to 2030 in the BaU case. Indonesia is the largest emission country among them. We also found that no-regret mitigation technologies are expected to reduce 33MtCO_2eq/year in 2030, which corresponds to 22% of agricultural emissions at the 2005 level. Under 10USD/tCO_2eq of mitigation cost, 56MtCO_2eq/year of emissions can be reduced by midseason drainage (MM) in rice cultivation, high efficient fertilizer application (HEF) to managed soils and Replacement of roughage with concentrates (RRC) etc.
机译：这项研究旨在估算到2030年东南亚国家（印度尼西亚，马来西亚和越南）的农业，林业和其他土地利用（AFOLU）中的温室气体（GHG）排放和缓解潜力。我们开发了一种自下而上的模型，名为AFOLUB模型，该模型根据特定技术的详细信息计算温室气​​体减排量。该模型说明了利润最大化导致生产者的农业生产行为和缓解技术选择。使用此模型，我们评估了行业中具有较高缓解潜力的缓解措施和有效技术。结果，这三个国家的农业和土地利用，土地利用变化与林业的温室气体排放量在2005年分别为149 MtCO_2eq /年和1.0 GtCO_2eq /年，到2030年，BaU将分别增长1.7和1.8倍。案件。印度尼西亚是其中最大的排放国。我们还发现，到2030年，无后悔缓解技术有望每年减少33MtCO_2eq，相当于2005年农业排放量的22％。在10USD / tCO_2eq的减排成本下，水稻种植中的季间排水（MM），在管理的土壤上高效施肥（HEF）以及用精矿替代粗饲料（RRC）等，可以减少56MtCO_2eq /年的排放量。

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