Activity prediction in process mining using the WoMan framework

Ferilli Stefano; Angelastro Sergio

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Activity prediction in process mining using the WoMan framework

机译：使用WoMan框架进行流程挖掘中的活动预测

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摘要

Process Management techniques are useful in domains where the availability of a (formal) process model can be leveraged to monitor, supervise, and control a production process. While their classical application is in the business and industrial fields, other domains may profitably exploit Process Management techniques. Some of these domains (e.g., people's behavior, General Game Playing) are much more flexible and variable than classical ones, and, thus, raise the problem of predicting which activities will be carried out next, a problem that is not so compelling in classical fields. When the process model is learned automatically from examples of process executions, which is the task of Process Mining, the prediction performance may also provide indirect indications on the correctness and reliability of the learned model. This paper proposes and compares two strategies for activity prediction using the WoMan framework for workflow management. The former proved to be able to handle complex processes, the latter is based on the classic and consolidated Naive Bayes approach. An experimental validation allows us to draw considerations on the pros and cons of each, used both in isolation and in combination.

机译：流程管理技术在可以利用（正式）流程模型的可用性来监视，监督和控制生产流程的领域中非常有用。尽管它们的经典应用是在商业和工业领域，但其他领域也可以从过程管理技术中获利。这些领域中的某些领域（例如，人们的行为，一般的游戏玩法）比经典领域更具灵活性和可变性，因此，出现了预测接下来将进行哪些活动的问题，这在经典领域并没有那么引人注目。领域。当从流程执行的示例中自动学习流程模型时（流程挖掘的任务），预测性能还可以间接指示所学习模型的正确性和可靠性。本文提出并比较了使用WoMan框架进行工作流管理的活动预测策略。事实证明，前者能够处理复杂的流程，而后者则基于经典的合并Naive Bayes方法。通过实验验证，我们可以对每种方法的优缺点进行考虑，可以单独使用也可以组合使用。

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《Journal of Intelligent Information Systems》 |2019年第1期|93-112|共20页
作者
Ferilli Stefano; Angelastro Sergio;
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作者单位

Univ Bari, Dipartimento Informat, Bari, Italy|Univ Bari, Ctr Interdipartimentale Log & Sue Applicaz, Bari, Italy;

Univ Bari, Dipartimento Informat, Bari, Italy;

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原文格式 PDF
正文语种 eng
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关键词
Process mining; Activity prediction; Process model;

机译：处理挖掘;活动预测;过程模型;

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1. Activity prediction in process mining using the WoMan framework [J] . Ferilli Stefano, Angelastro Sergio Journal of Intelligent Information Systems . 2019,第1期

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2. Framework of airfoil max lift-to-drag ratio prediction using hybrid feature mining and Gaussian process regression [J] . Chen Yaoran, Dong Zhikun, Su Jie, Energy Conversion & Management . 2021,第Sepa期

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3. A policy-based process mining framework: mining business policy texts for discovering process models [J] . Jiexun Li, Harry Jiannan Wang, Zhu Zhang, Information systems and e-business management . 2010,第2期

机译：一个基于策略的流程挖掘框架：挖掘业务策略文本以发现流程模型
4. Activity Prediction in Process Management using the WoMan Framework [C] . Stefano Ferilli, Domenico Redavid, Sergio Angelastro International conference on data mining . 2017

机译：使用WoMan框架进行流程管理中的活动预测
5. An Integrated Framework of Data Mining and Process Mining to Characterize Quality and Production Processes [D] . Saad, Hamza 2018

机译：数据挖掘和过程挖掘的集成框架，以表征质量和生产过程
6. ParaBTM: A Parallel Processing Framework for Biomedical Text Mining on Supercomputers [O] . Yuting Xing, Chengkun Wu, Xi Yang, 2018

机译：ParaBTM：超级计算机上生物医学文本挖掘的并行处理框架
7. : "This paper deals with the functionality of the flaked stone assemblages from several Neolithic sites of the NE of the Iberian Peninsula. The chronological framework ranges from the mid-6th to the mid-4th millennium cal. BCE, which corresponds to the Early and Middle Neolithic. This long period ranges from the arrival of the first farming communities in the Iberian Peninsula, around 5600-5500 cal. BCE, to 3600-3500 cal. BCE, two millennia later, when Neolithic communities had stably occupied most of the available territory, from the mountainous areas of the Pyrenees to the coastal areas of the Mediterranean.In this context, the NE of the Iberian Peninsula is one of the areas where a major number of use-wear analyses have been carried out, especially for what concerns the Neolithic period. This is mainly due to the interest shown by the directors of the excavations and by the Spanish use-wear specialists as well; both participated and cooperated in order to enlarge the number of contexts studied, making the NE of the Iberian Peninsula one of the areas of Europe with the largest number of ‘functional studies’. As a result, today we have a reliable picture of the type of lithic tools used by the first farming groups, how they were used, and which needs they were satisfying.The methodology employed for this type of analysis is today broadly shared by most use-wear specialists. A stereoscopic microscope is used together with a reflected-light microscope for the analysis of the archaeological specimens. Afterwards, the observed use-wear traces are compared with the traces from experimental tools. This study primarily made use of the tools preserved at the ‘Traceoteque’ of the Institución Milà y Fontanals of the CSIC of Barcelona.This paper presents the results obtained for the different types of analysed sites and the relative lithic assemblages. In this way, tools from different contexts are compared: open-air sites, caves and rock-shelters, pit-sites, burials, and mining sites. Such a diversity of contexts allowed for the exploration of the existence of recurrences and differences in the functionality of the lithic tools from one site to another. The results obtained have also provided information on some aspects related to the economic processes carried out at the different sites, caves, rock-shelters and open-air contexts. It has been possible to gain fresh data on the types of tasks carried out and their relative importance for each site, their relation with the geographical and environmental context and the natural resources available there. In addition, analysing tools recovered from burials – mainly individual inhumations – provided information on the relationships between the buried individuals and the working tools, in particular exploring the relationships between sex and age patterns and the types of tools deposited as goods.In conclusion, use-wear analysis allowed for the exploration of a variety of issues; from technical aspects related to the production and management of the lithic resources to social aspects related to the subsistence activities and the individuals that carried them out." [O] . Gibaja Bao, Juan Francisco, Mazzucco, Niccolo 2015

机译：：“本文研究了伊比利亚半岛东北部几个新石器时代遗址的片状石材组合的功能。时间框架从公元前6世纪中叶到4世纪中叶，分别对应于早期和早期。新石器时代中期，这段时间的长短是从伊比利亚半岛的第一个农业社区到来，大约在公元前5600-5500 cal，到了两千年后的3600-3500 BCE，当时新石器时代的社区稳定地占据了大部分可用土地。从比利牛斯山脉山区到地中海沿岸地区。在这种情况下，伊比利亚半岛东北部是进行过大量使用磨损分析的地区之一，尤其是在关注方面新石器时代，这主要是由于发掘负责人和西班牙使用服装专家表现出的浓厚兴趣；他们参与和合作以扩大孔蒂的数量xts进行了研究，使伊比利亚半岛的NE成为“功能研究”数量最多的欧洲地区之一。结果，今天我们可以可靠地了解第一批耕作小组使用的石器工具的类型，使用方法以及它们满足的需求。今天，大多数使用方法广泛共享用于这种类型的分析的方法穿专家。立体显微镜与反射光显微镜一起用于分析考古样本。然后，将观察到的使用磨损痕迹与实验工具的痕迹进行比较。这项研究主要利用了巴塞罗那CSIC的米拉·丰塔纳尔研究所的“ Traceoteque”中保存的工具。本文介绍了针对不同类型的分析地点和相对石器组合所获得的结果。通过这种方式，可以比较来自不同环境的工具：露天场所，洞穴和岩石避难所，露天场所，埋葬场所和采矿场所。如此多样的上下文允许探索重复性的存在以及从一个站点到另一个站点的石器工具的功能差异。所获得的结果还提供了与在不同地点，洞穴，避难所和露天环境中进行的经济过程有关的某些方面的信息。可以获得有关所执行任务的类型及其对每个站点的相对重要性，它们与地理和环境环境以及那里可用自然资源的关系的新数据。此外，对从墓葬中回收的工具（主要是个人遗体）进行分析，可提供有关被掩埋的个体与工作工具之间关系的信息，尤其是探索性别与年龄模式之间的关系以及作为商品存放的工具的类型。磨损分析允许探索各种问题；从与石器资源的生产和管理有关的技术方面到与自给活动及其实施者有关的社会方面。”

Activity prediction in process mining using the WoMan framework

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