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On the determinants of net international portfolio flows: A global perspective

机译:全球净投资组合流量的决定因素:全球视角

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摘要

In a panel covering a large number of countries from 1970 to 2003, we show that population ageing, institutions, money and deviations from the Uncovered Interest Parity (UIP) influence developments in net capital flows. Population ageing is associated with net equity inflows, net outflows in debt instruments and current account deficits. Better institutions favor net capital inflows. Higher money to GDP ratio - associated with lower interest rates -enhances international investments in domestic stocks to the detriment of the less attractive domestic bonds. As for the deviations from the UIP, a rise in the short-term domestic interest rate above its trend brings about an equilibrating portfolio shift away from domestic debt instruments.
机译:在涵盖1970年至2003年许多国家的小组讨论中,我们显示了人口老龄化,机构,金钱以及与未发现的利息平价(UIP)的偏差会影响净资本流动的发展。人口老龄化与净资产净流入,债务工具净流出和经常账户赤字有关。更好的机构更倾向于净资本流入。较高的货币对国内生产总值的比率-与较低的利率相关-增强了对国内股票的国际投资,从而损害了吸引力较小的国内债券。至于与UIP的背离,短期国内利率高于其趋势会导致投资组合从国内债务工具转移到均衡状态。

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