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Exploring different views of exchange rate regime choice

机译:探索汇率制度选择的不同观点

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摘要

The empirical distinction between de facto and de jure exchange rate regimes raises a number of interesting questions. Which factors may induce a de facto peg? Why do countries enforce a peg but do not announce it? Why do countries "break their promises"? We show that a stable socio-political environment and an efficient political decision-making process are a necessary prerequisite for choosing a peg and sticking to it, challenging the view that sees the exchange rate as a commitment device. Policymakers seem rather concerned with regime sustainability in the face of adverse economic and socio-political fundamentals.
机译:事实汇率制度与法律汇率制度之间的经验区别提出了许多有趣的问题。哪些因素可能导致实际钉住汇率?为什么国家强制实行钉住汇率而不宣布呢?为什么国家会“违背诺言”?我们表明,稳定的社会政治环境和有效的政治决策过程是选择钉住并坚持下去的必要前提,这挑战了将汇率视为承诺工具的观点。面对不利的经济和社会政治基本面,决策者似乎相当关注政权的可持续性。

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