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Structural Error Correction Models: A System Method for Linear Rational Expectations Models and an Application to an Exchange Rate Model

机译:结构误差校正模型:线性有理期望模型的系统方法及其在汇率模型中的应用

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摘要

This paper develops a system instrumental variable method to estimate the speed of adjustment coefficient in the long-run equilibrium of structural error correction models for a class of linear rational expectations models. This method is applied to an exchange rate model with sticky prices, in which the speed of adjustment coefficient governs the half-life of the real exchange rate. Compared to single equation methods, the system method gives smaller half-life estimates with sharper standard errors.
机译:本文针对一类线性有理期望模型,开发了一种系统的工具变量方法来估计结构误差校正模型的长期均衡中的调整系数的速度。该方法适用于具有粘性价格的汇率模型,其中调整系数的速度决定着实际汇率的半衰期。与单方程方法相比,系统方法给出的半衰期估计值较小,标准误差更大。

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