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Assessing and Preventing Serious Incidents with Behavioral Science: Enhancing Heinrich's Triangle for the 21st Century

机译:用行为科学评估和预防严重事件:在21世纪增强Heinrich的三角关系

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摘要

The rate of occupational injuries has been declining annually, but the rate of decline for fatalities has not kept a similar pace. Behavior-based safety (BBS) contributes to reducing personal injuries, and can be applied to preventing serious incidents. To address serious injuries with greater confidence requires a change in perspective on the causes of fatalities and serious injuries. Heinrich's safety triangle helps describe the ratio between minor incidents and major incidents, but is not adequate in helping to predict serious incidents. Adding a special subset to the safety triangle can assist safety practitioners in predicting and influencing such events. Extending the triangle to include more foundational root causes, such as leadership shortcomings and system failures, will expand the scope of the behavior analysis, and including greater specificity about the precursors to serious incidents will help the precision of the behavior analysis. The implications of the expanded triangle for amplifying the effectiveness of BBS for reducing serious incidents are discussed.
机译:职业伤害的比率每年都在下降,但死亡人数的下降速度并没有保持类似的速度。基于行为的安全性(BBS)有助于减少人身伤害,并可用于预防严重事故。为了更大程度地解决严重伤害,需要改变对死亡和严重伤害原因的看法。 Heinrich的安全三角形有助于描述次要事件和重大事件之间的比率,但不足以帮助预测严重事件。在安全三角图中添加特殊子集可以帮助安全从业人员预测和影响此类事件。将三角形扩展到包括更多的根本根源,例如领导力缺陷和系统故障,将扩大行为分析的范围,并且包括对严重事件发生的前兆进行更详细的说明将有助于行为分析的准确性。讨论了扩展三角形对于扩大BBS减少严重事件的有效性的意义。

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