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首页> 外文期刊>Journal of policy modeling >Non-tariff barrier on chicken imports into Russia: Impact on production, trade and prices
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Non-tariff barrier on chicken imports into Russia: Impact on production, trade and prices

机译:鸡肉进口的非关税障碍进入俄罗斯:对生产,贸易和价格的影响

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摘要

We analyze the Russian restriction on chicken imports as an example of a non-tariff barrier (NTB). Cointegration test results support the hypothesis that the NTB limited trade. We calibrate an equilibrium market model to cointegration results to assess the market impact. The tariff equivalent of the Russian chicken NTB is estimated to be 30 - 40% depending on the representation of consumer demand. Removing the NTB decreases domestic production by 4-5% and domestic price by 27%-34%, while imports increase by 326-423 thousand tons annually in 2015-2019. (C) 2020 The Society for Policy Modeling. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
机译:我们分析俄罗斯对鸡肉进口的限制作为非关税屏障(NTB)的一个例子。协整的测试结果支持NTB有限贸易的假设。我们校准均衡市场模型以协调结果,以评估市场影响。根据消费者需求的代表性,估计俄罗斯鸡NTB的关税相当于估计为30-40%。消除NTB将国内产量降低4-5%,国内价格达到27%-34%,而进口每年在2015 - 2019年增加326-423万吨。 (c)2020年政策建模协会。由elsevier Inc.出版的所有权利保留。

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