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Modeling the Relationship Between Male and Female Mortality Patterns in Modern Populations

机译:现代人口中男女死亡率模式之间关系的建模

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It is generally known that the age-specific probabilities of dying exhibit a typical pattern common in all human populations. It is also extensively known that, in every population, males and females experience significantly different mortality levels. However the gap between the mortality patterns of the two sexes significantly varies through ages exhibiting a pattern that became typical since the middle of the 20th century. In this paper we present a parametric model for the description of this pattern, which presents the log ratio between the male and female empirical probabilities of dying as a parametric function of age. For evaluating the adequacy of the model proposed, we fit it to empirical data sets of a variety of populations and time periods. This model can serve as a tool for comparisons of the sex-differentiated mortality between populations and through time.
机译:众所周知,特定年龄的死亡概率表现出在所有人类中普遍存在的典型模式。还众所周知,在每个人口中,男性和女性的死亡率均存在显着差异。然而,随着年龄的增长,两种性别的死亡率模式之间的差距差异很大,呈现出自20世纪中叶以来典型的模式。在本文中,我们提供了用于描述此模式的参数模型,该模型表示了作为年龄的参数函数的男性和女性死亡的经验概率之间的对数比。为了评估所提出模型的充分性,我们将其适合于各种人群和时间段的经验数据集。该模型可以用作比较人群之间以及不同时间之间性别差异死亡率的工具。

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