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Why Did Estonia Choose Fiscal Retrenchment after the 2008 Crisis?

机译:为什么爱沙尼亚在2008年危机后选择财政紧缩?

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摘要

The budgetary response of Estonia to the 2008 global financial crisis poses a puzzle. While many other countries increased public expenditure and ran high deficits in 2009, the Estonian government was different: it undertook fiscal retrenchment, combining expenditure cuts and tax increases, despite a large drop in economic output. This article explains why the Estonian government opted for fiscal consolidation during the crisis. The ideological position of the governing parties and their desire the join the euro-zone played an important role in driving fiscal discipline. It also argues that the key to understanding Estonia's fiscal decisions in 2009 is what happened in the 1990s: fiscal policy choices became path-dependent as a result of positive feedback loops from previous periods of fiscal consolidation. Path-dependency was further reinforced by institutional capabilities (or lack thereof) created by initial macroeconomic policy choices.
机译:爱沙尼亚对2008年全球金融危机的预算反应令人困惑。尽管其他许多国家/地区在2009年增加了公共支出并出现了高额赤字,但爱沙尼亚政府却有所不同:尽管经济产出大幅下降,但它还是进行了财政紧缩,包括削减支出和增加税收。本文解释了为什么爱沙尼亚政府在危机期间选择了财政整顿。执政党的意识形态立场和他们加入欧元区的愿望在推动财政纪律方面发挥了重要作用。它还认为,了解爱沙尼亚2009年财政决策的关键在于1990年代发生的事情:由于前几次财政整顿的积极反馈回路,财政政策选择变得取决于路径。最初的宏观经济政策选择所产生的体制能力(或缺乏这种能力)进一步增强了路径依赖性。

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  • 来源
    《Journal of Public Policy》 |2011年第2期|p.163-186|共24页
  • 作者

    RINGA RAUDLA; RAINER KATTEL;

  • 作者单位

    Department of Public Administration Tallinn University of Technology Akadeemia 3 Tallinn 12618 Estonia;

    Department of Public Administration Tallinn University of Technology Akadeemia 3 Tallinn 12618 Estonia;

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  • 正文语种 eng
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