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首页> 外文期刊>Journal of Quantitative Criminology >Hot Spots of Juvenile Crime: A Longitudinal Study of Arrest Incidents at Street Segments in Seattle, Washington
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Hot Spots of Juvenile Crime: A Longitudinal Study of Arrest Incidents at Street Segments in Seattle, Washington

机译：青少年犯罪热点：华盛顿西雅图街头的逮捕事件纵向研究

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摘要

Recent studies have shown that crime is concentrated at micro level units of geography defined as hot spots. Despite this growing evidence of the concentration of crime at place, studies to date have dealt primarily with adult crime or have failed to distinguish between adult and juvenile offenses. In this paper, we identify crime incidents in which a juvenile was arrested at street segments in Seattle, Washington, over a 14-year period, to assess the extent to which officially recorded juvenile crime is concentrated at hot spots. Using group-based trajectory analysis, we also assess the stability and variability of crime at street segments over the period of the study. Our findings suggest that officially recorded juvenile crime is strongly concentrated. Indeed, just 86 street segments in Seattle include one-third of crime incidents in which a juvenile was arrested during the study period. While we do observe variability over time in trajectories identified in the study, we also find that high rate juvenile crime street segments remain relatively stable across the 14 years examined. Finally, confirming the importance of routine activity theory in understanding the concentration of juvenile crime in hot spots, we find a strong connection between high rate trajectory groups and places likely to be a part of juvenile activity spaces. Though place-based crime prevention has not been a major focus of delinquency prevention, our work suggests that it may be an area with great promise.
机译：最近的研究表明，犯罪集中在被定义为热点的微观地理单位上。尽管有越来越多的证据表明犯罪集中在地方，但迄今为止的研究主要涉及成人犯罪，或未能区分成人犯罪和少年犯罪。在本文中，我们确定了在14年的时间里，在华盛顿州西雅图市的街道上逮捕了少年的犯罪事件，以评估正式记录的少年犯罪集中在热点地区的程度。使用基于群体的轨迹分析，我们还评估了研究期间街道段上犯罪的稳定性和可变性。我们的发现表明，官方记录的青少年犯罪非常集中。确实，西雅图只有86个街道段，其中有三分之一是在研究期间被捕的少年犯罪事件。虽然我们确实观察到了研究中确定的轨迹随时间的变化，但我们还发现，在所考察的14年中，高犯罪率的青少年犯罪路段保持相对稳定。最后，通过确认常规活动理论在理解热点地区青少年犯罪集中性方面的重要性，我们发现高弹道轨迹群体与可能是青少年活动空间一部分的场所之间存在密切联系。尽管基于地点的犯罪预防并不是预防犯罪的主要重点，但我们的工作表明，这可能是一个充满希望的领域。

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