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Confidence, knowledge, and compliance with emergency evacuation

机译:信心,知识和对紧急疏散的遵守

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Hurricane Katrina vividly showed that policy compliance can be a life-or-death matter in times of natural disasters. Although a substantial number of emergency management studies examined the determinants of evacuation compliance, they largely focused on demographic and socioeconomic characteristics. Research in policy implementation shows that public confidence in government institutions and knowledge about policies implemented are critical factors for securing compliance from target populations. Building upon this literature, we examine whether confidence and knowledge factors can predict compliance behaviors with policies of disaster response. Our analysis of a nationwide survey indicates that confidence in Federal Emergency Management Agency significantly increases the probability of compliance with evacuation orders. Individuals with better knowledge of local disaster response plans are also more likely to comply with evacuation orders than others. These findings suggest that enhancing the effectiveness of disaster management policy may require a fundamentally different approach with a new focus on institutional capacity and process.
机译:卡特里娜飓风生动地表明,在自然灾害时期,遵守政策可能成为生死攸关的问题。尽管大量的应急管理研究检查了疏散依从性的决定因素,但它们主要关注人口和社会经济特征。政策执行方面的研究表明,公众对政府机构的信心和对实施政策的了解是确保目标人群遵守法规的关键因素。在此文献的基础上,我们研究了信心和知识因素是否可以预测灾害响应策略的遵从行为。我们对全国性调查的分析表明,对联邦紧急事务管理局的信心大大增加了遵守疏散命令的可能性。对本地灾难响应计划了解更多的人比其他人更有可能遵守疏散命令。这些发现表明,提高灾害管理政策的有效性可能需要一种根本不同的方法,而新的重点应放在机构能力和程序上。

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