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首页> 外文期刊>Journal of Transport Geography >How transit service closures influence bikesharing demand; lessons learned from SafeTrack project in Washington, D.C. metropolitan area
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How transit service closures influence bikesharing demand; lessons learned from SafeTrack project in Washington, D.C. metropolitan area

机译：过境服务关闭如何影响自发性需求;从华盛顿的SafeTrack项目中吸取的经验教训，D.C. Metropolitan地区

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Transportation disruptions offer opportunities to study how people adapt to using new modes of transportation and have important implications for transportation policy and planning. Bikeshare has emerged as a new popular mode of transportation in recent years as it offers a fast, easy, and reliable way to travel short distances, and for its convenience as a first- and last-mile mode to complement transit. It also offers many social, environmental, and health-related benefits and has the potential to promote low-carbon mobility. This study examines changes in bikeshare ridership due to rail transit closures in the Washington, D.C. area and investigates how promoting bikeshare systems in large metropolitan areas could be beneficial in cases of transit disruptions - regardless of the type, cause, and duration. We use disaggregate trip history data to analyze the impact of three different transit closures in 2016 lasting 7 to 25 days. The objective of this paper is to provide insight on how transit disruptions affect bikeshare use. An autoregressive Poisson time series model is used to estimate effects of transit closures on bikeshare activity. Kernel density estimation is applied to understand spatial changes in ridership from a week before, one year before, and after each closure. Results are compared both temporally and spatially and confirm that transit disruptions were associated with increased bikeshare ridership at the local level. Once the affected Metro stations reopened, bikeshare ridership returned to original levels. We conclude that when within 0.25 mile of a rail station and with a rail station spacing of 3 miles, bikeshare can be used as a mechanism for low-carbon mobility to complement transit.
机译：运输中断提供了研究人们如何适应使用新的交通方式以及对运输政策和规划产生重要影响的机会。近年来，Bikeshare已成为一种新的流行运输方式，因为它提供了快速，简单，可靠的方式来行进短距离，以及方便的作为一个额外的模式来补充运输。它还提供了许多社会，环境和健康相关的益处，并且有可能促进低碳流动性。本研究审查了由于华盛顿，D.C.地区的轨道交通封闭因子和调查大都市区的比克列斯佩尔系统在过境中断的情况下如何有利于促进大都市，而不论类型，原因和持续时间如何有益的地方，也是有益的。我们使用分解历史记录数据来分析2016年持续7至25天的三种不同过境闭合的影响。本文的目的是提供有关过渡中断如何影响Bikeshare使用的洞察力。自回归泊松时间序列模型用于估算运输封闭对自发性活动的影响。应用内核密度估计来了解从一年前一周的一周和每次关闭之后了解乘坐的空间变化。结果在时间上和空间上进行了比较，并确认过境中断与地方一级的比克列斯佩尔乘客增加有关。一旦受影响的地铁站重新打开，Bikeshare Richersies返回了原始水平。我们得出结论，当在铁路站0.25英里和轨道站间距内，比克列萨卡可以用作低碳流动性以补充运输的机制。

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