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Components, Systems And Technological Discontinuities: lessons From The It Sector

机译：组件，系统和技术上的不连续性：来自IT部门的经验教训

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摘要

This paper describes a model that sheds light on the mechanism by which many technological discontinuities occur. The model combines three arguments: 1) incremental improvements in a system's components impact on the performance and design of systems; 2) these incremental improvements in components can lead to discontinuities in system design through their impact on the design trade-offs that are inherent in all systems; and 3) these incremental improvements in components can cause the components to become applicable to completely new systems. This paper uses the model to explain a number of technological discontinuities in the semiconductor, computer and other industries in the IT sector. A final section uses the model to think about the future of the IT and energy sectors.
机译：本文介绍了一个模型，该模型阐明了发生许多技术不连续性的机制。该模型包含三个参数：1）系统组件的逐步改进对系统性能和设计的影响； 2）这些组件的增量改进会通过影响所有系统固有的设计权衡而导致系统设计不连续；和3）组件的这些不断改进会导致这些组件变得适用于全新的系统。本文使用该模型来解释半导体，计算机和IT部门其他行业中的许多技术不连续性。最后一部分使用该模型来思考IT和能源行业的未来。

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