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Did Purchasing Power Parity Hold in Medieval Europe?

机译:购买力平价在中世纪欧洲是否成立?

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摘要

This paper employs a unique, hand-collected dataset of exchange rates for five major currencies (the lira of Barcelona, the pound sterling of England, the pond groot of Flanders, the florin of Florence and the livre tournois of France) to consider whether the law of one price and purchasing power parity held in Europe during the late fourteenth and early fifteenth centuries. Using single series and panel unit root and stationarity tests and cointegration analysis on 10 real exchange rates between 1383 and 1411, we show that the parity relationship held for the pound sterling and some of the Florentine florin series individually and for almost all of the groups that we investigate. Our findings add to the weight of evidence that trading and arbitrage activities stopped real exchange rates deviating permanently from fair values. This research extends the results reported in other studies back more than 600 years.
机译:本文采用了一个独特的手工收集的五种主要货币汇率数据集(巴塞罗那里拉,英格兰英镑,法兰德斯的池塘根,法兰西弗洛伦斯和法国里弗尔·图尔诺瓦),以考虑是否在十四世纪末和十五世纪初,欧洲实行的一种价格和购买力平价定律。使用单序列和面板单位的根检验和平稳性检验以及对1383年至1411年之间的10个实际汇率的协整分析,我们发现英镑和某些佛罗伦萨弗洛林系列的比价关系分别适用于几乎所有组,我们调查。我们的发现增加了证据,证明交易和套利活动阻止了实际汇率永久偏离公允价值。这项研究将其他研究报告的结果扩展了600多年。

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  • 来源
    《The Manchester school》 |2017年第6期|682-709|共28页
  • 作者单位

    Univ Reading, Henley Business Sch, ICMA Ctr, Reading, Berks, England;

    Univ Reading, Henley Business Sch, ICMA Ctr, Reading, Berks, England;

    Univ Reading, Henley Business Sch, ICMA Ctr, Reading, Berks, England;

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