THE CONVERGENCE HYPOTHESIS FOR OECD COUNTRIES RECONSIDERED: PANEL DATA EVIDENCE WITH MULTIPLE BREAKS, 1870-2003

DIEGO ROMERO-AVILA

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THE CONVERGENCE HYPOTHESIS FOR OECD COUNTRIES RECONSIDERED: PANEL DATA EVIDENCE WITH MULTIPLE BREAKS, 1870-2003

机译：认可经合组织国家的融合假设：多次崩溃的面板数据证据，1870-2003年

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In this paper we investigate the existence of stochastic convergence of per capita real output in 19 OECD countries over 1870-2003. For that purpose, we employ panel techniques which incorporate an unknown number of structural breaks along with cross-dependence. Overall, our analysis provides strong evidence of stochastic convergence over the 20th century. In addition, the examination of time-series β-convergence within the different regimes identified renders evidence supporting catching-up for 16 countries. This implies that, despite a narrowing of the income gap, the convergence process has yet to be completed. Evidence of long-run convergence is further provided for Finland, France and the USA.

机译：在本文中，我们调查了1870-2003年间OECD 19个国家人均实际产出随机收敛的情况。为此，我们采用面板技术，该技术结合了未知数量的结构断裂以及交叉依赖性。总体而言，我们的分析提供了20世纪随机趋同的有力证据。此外，对确定的不同体制内的时间序列β收敛的研究提供了支持追赶16个国家的证据。这意味着，尽管收入差距缩小了，但衔接过程尚未完成。芬兰，法国和美国也提供了长期趋同的证据。

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《The Manchester school》 |2009年第4期|552-574|共23页
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DIEGO ROMERO-AVILA;
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Universidad Pablo de Olavide, Sevilla;

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THE CONVERGENCE HYPOTHESIS FOR OECD COUNTRIES RECONSIDERED: PANEL DATA EVIDENCE WITH MULTIPLE BREAKS, 1870-2003

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