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Critical strategic foresight

机译：关键战略远见

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摘要

There are occasions when individuals working for a business see beyond the intended consequences of strategies, and foresee potentially detrimental unintended consequences. Described as critical strategic foresight, it is likely to come from individuals with some challenging questions about how to deal with the future and, hence, cannot be gathered via permanent facilities such as suggestion schemes and knowledge management systems. Without these facilities, an individual's inconvenient and challenging question about the future can easily be attributed to resistance to change. Accordingly, an individual's critical strategic foresight can be regarded as a negative view to be eradicated rather than an original view to be evaluated. Businesses are therefore urged to make use of creative thinking methods to better anticipate potentially detrimental unintended consequences.
机译：在某些情况下，为企业工作的个人所看到的超出了策略的预期结果，并且预见了潜在的有害意外后果。被描述为至关重要的战略远见，它很可能来自对如何应对未来存在一些挑战性问题的个人，因此，不能通过诸如建议计划和知识管理系统之类的永久性设施来收集。没有这些便利，个人对未来的不便和具有挑战性的问题很容易归因于对变革的抵制。因此，个人的关键战略远见可以被视为要消除的负面观点，而不是要评估的原始观点。因此，敦促企业使用创造性思维方法，以更好地预测可能有害的意外后果。

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