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首页> 外文期刊>Margin: The Journal of Applied Economic Research >Trade Potential between India and Central Asia
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Trade Potential between India and Central Asia

机译：印度与中亚之间的贸易潜力

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摘要

South-South bilateral trade partnerships have been growing increasingly important, and this article analyses the current patterns of bilateral trade between India and five Central Asian countries and the potential for improving them. We apply the gravity model of trade to construct a trade potential index from an Indian perspective and assess the potential for improving India's trade with Central Asia. We find that the volume of trade between India and Central Asia in 2015 could be six to ten times greater than the actual volume. Political disturbances in the countries that fall along the direct trade route are a major barrier to trade in this region; therefore, we re-examine the potential for trade using alternate routes via Iran and China. We find that the potential for greater bilateral trade between India and Central Asia continues to be positive.
机译：南南双边贸易伙伴关系变得越来越重要，本文分析了印度与五个中亚国家之间当前的双边贸易模式以及改善它们的潜力。我们从印度的角度运用贸易引力模型构建贸易潜力指数，并评估改善印度与中亚贸易的潜力。我们发现，2015年印度与中亚之间的贸易额可能是实际额的六到十倍。那些直接贸易路线沿线国家的政治动荡是该地区贸易的主要障碍；因此，我们将重新审视通过伊朗和中国的替代路线的贸易潜力。我们发现，印度与中亚之间加强双边贸易的潜力仍然是积极的。

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