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Indexation and Normalization Modeling of Natural Gas Endowment

机译：天然气End赋指标化与归一化建模

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摘要

A novel modeling method is presented for indexing and normalizing natural gas endowments of petroleum provinces. The approach is demonstrated with data from Canada, the Unites States, and Latin American and Caribbean (LAC) countries. A variable shape distribution model (VSD) is used to fit the conventional natural gas endowment published by the United States Geological Survey (USGS) for 29 provinces in LAC countries and 85 provinces in Canada and the United States. These data are indexed and normalized to generate curves showing number of provinces versus normalized endowments. Results are compared with normalized endowments from provinces in other regions around the world, including Europe, Asia Pacific, the Middle East, North Africa, and the former Soviet Union (FSU). The comparison gives the method predictive power for estimating the natural gas endowment, particularly in LAC provinces that at present have little exploration activity. Of particular importance is the fact that all the curves of the various regions display a generally concave pattern throughout. The exception is the LAC curve, which displays the shape of an inverted S and has a distinct convex pattern at the largest gas endowment volumes. This comparison suggests there is potentially a large volume of natural gas in the region that has not been considered in previous studies.
机译：提出了一种新的建模方法来对石油省的天然气end赋进行索引和标准化。加拿大，美国以及拉丁美洲和加勒比（LAC）国家的数据证明了该方法。使用可变形状分布模型（VSD）来拟合美国地质调查局（USGS）针对LAC国家的29个省以及加拿大和美国的85个省的常规天然气资源。将这些数据编入索引并进行归一化，以生成显示省份数量与归一化end赋的曲线。将结果与来自世界其他地区（包括欧洲，亚太地区，中东，北非和前苏联（FSU））的省份的标准化捐赠基金进行比较。比较结果为估算天然气end赋提供了方法的预测能力，尤其是在目前勘探活动很少的拉美地区。特别重要的是，各个区域的所有曲线在整个过程中都显示出大致凹形的图案。 LAC曲线例外，它显示了倒S的形状，并且在最大的天然气volumes赋量处具有明显的凸起图案。这种比较表明该地区可能存在大量天然气，而以前的研究并未考虑过这一点。

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