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首页> 外文期刊>Mathematics and computers in simulation >Integration modelling and decision support: A case study of the Coastal Lake Assessment and Management (CLAM) Tool
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Integration modelling and decision support: A case study of the Coastal Lake Assessment and Management (CLAM) Tool

机译：集成建模和决策支持：以沿海湖泊评估与管理（CLAM）工具为例

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Decision Support Tools (DSTs) are designed to assist in making more informed management decisions, through prediction of the outcomes from various future scenarios and as an education resource. The many coastal lakes in New South Wales, Australia are areas where DSTs are able to assist in making management and planning decisions. A variety of economic, ecological and social demands on the lakes and their catchment's finite resources are increasing conflict over their use and sustainable management. The issues are intricately linked, so that understanding trade-offs and making management decisions about coastal lakes and their catchments requires knowledge of the processes and interactions between all key components of the system. This is a complex problem requiring the integration of, often minimal, information, from various disciplines.rnThis paper describes an approach for developing a DST to provide information about the potential impacts of management decisions on key components of a coastal lake system. Integration of the catchment components was completed using a Bayesian Decision Network (BDN). This paper uses a case study of a DST for Merimbula Lake on the east coast of Australia to illustrate the strengths of the BDN approach, and to show how the design of the DST helps to address some of the limitations inherent in the integrative method.
机译：决策支持工具（DST）旨在通过预测各种未来情况的结果并作为教育资源来帮助做出更明智的管理决策。在澳大利亚新南威尔士州的许多沿海湖泊中，DST可以帮助他们做出管理和规划决策。湖泊及其流域的有限资源对经济，生态和社会的各种要求，加剧了对其使用和可持续管理的冲突。这些问题之间有着千丝万缕的联系，因此，要了解取舍和做出有关沿海湖泊及其流域的管理决策，需要了解系统的所有关键组件之间的过程和相互作用。这是一个复杂的问题，需要集成来自各个学科的信息（通常很少）。本文描述了一种开发DST的方法，以提供有关管理决策对沿海湖泊系统关键组件的潜在影响的信息。利用贝叶斯决策网络（BDN）完成了流域组成部分的整合。本文以澳大利亚东海岸梅林布拉湖DST的案例研究为例，说明了BDN方法的优势，并展示了DST的设计如何帮助解决集成方法固有的一些局限性。

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