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Cyclical dynamics in a Kaleckian model with demand and distribution regimes and endogenous natural output

机译:具有需求和分配机制以及内生自然产出的Kaleckian模型中的循环动力学

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We analyse the interaction of demand and income distribution in a dynamic Kaleckian model with endogenous natural output. Endogenous changes of the natural output level to changes in the demand-determined actual output level have featured prominently in discussions of hysteresis after the crisis of 2008. We consider wage-led and profit-led demand (PLD) regimes and goods market-led and labour market-led income distribution regimes. The stability of the steady state is related to the endogeneity of natural output level in certain regimes. Limit cycles arise when the strong flexibility of prices or wages to the output gap is combined with moderate natural output hysteresis. A Kaleckian model with a wage-led demand regime and anticyclical profit share is less unstable and pseudo-Goodwin cycles can arise in the PLD regime with a procyclical profit share.
机译:我们在具有内生自然产出的动态Kaleckian模型中分析了需求和收入分配之间的相互作用。在讨论2008年危机后的滞后现象时,自然产出水平的内生性变化对需求决定的实际产出水平的变化尤为突出。我们考虑了工资主导和利润主导的需求(PLD)机制以及商品市场主导的和劳动力市场主导的收入分配制度。在某些情况下,稳态的稳定性与自然产出水平的内生性有关。当价格或工资对产出缺口的强烈灵活性与适度的自然产出滞后相结合时,就会出现极限周期。具有工资主导的需求机制和反周期利润份额的Kaleckian模型的不稳定程度较小,在具有顺周期利润份额的PLD体制中会出现伪Goodwin周期。

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