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Rethinking Macroeconomic Policy within a Simple Dynamic Model

机译:在简单的动态模型中重新思考宏观经济政策

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摘要

We propose a simple macro-dynamic model to rethink standard policy prescriptions. Our model includes exogenous growth, endogenous capital accumulation and debt, demand-driven production with a non-linear IS curve, a dynamic Phillips curve, and fiscal and monetary policy instruments. It has multiple steady states with different stability properties, and it is analytically tractable to a significant extent. We complete the analytical results with simulations. We find alternative growth patterns, endogenous fluctuations, and demand-driven level effects even in the long-run. For certain steady states the model shows saddle-path type instabilities, which lead us to reflect on fiscal and monetary policy standards.
机译:我们提出了一个简单的宏观动力学模型来重新考虑标准政策规定。我们的模型包括外生增长,内生资本积累和债务,具有非线性IS曲线的需求驱动型生产,动态Phillips曲线以及财政和货币政策工具。它具有多个具有不同稳定性特性的稳态,并且在很大程度上易于分析。我们通过模拟完成分析结果。即使从长期来看,我们也会发现替代性增长模式,内生性波动以及需求驱动的水平效应。对于某些稳态,该模型显示出鞍形路径类型的不稳定性,这使我们反思了财政和货币政策标准。

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