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The Future of War How Globalization is Changing the Security Paradigm

机译：战争的未来全球化如何改变安全范式

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This article is by no means intended to serve as a prophetic declaration on the future of war but rather as a way to encourage deep thought and discussion on our changing security environment. The decline of interstate conflict and rise of intrastate conflict reflect changes that are mainly fueled by the forces of globalization and other global trends, perhaps the most notable of which is urbanization in the form of megacities. If we choose to ignore these trends, we are destined to maintain a force that will be largely ill-prepared for the challenges associated with future intrastate conflict and irregular warfare. It is time to accept that the future of war will likely not be fought how the U.S. military has historically preferred to fight (i.e., stand-up battles between nation-state conventional forces), but it will nonetheless remain very familiar as a profoundly human endeavor that will be as ugly as ever.
机译：本文决不是要作为战争前途的预言，而是要鼓励对我们不断变化的安全环境进行深入思考和讨论。国家间冲突的减少和国家间冲突的增加反映了主要由全球化和其他全球趋势推动的变化，也许最值得注意的是大城市形式的城市化。如果我们选择忽略这些趋势，那么我们注定要维持一支力量不足的部队，以应付与未来州内冲突和不规则战争有关的挑战。现在是时候接受承认，未来的战争可能不会与美军历来喜欢战斗的方式（即民族国家常规部队之间的站立战斗）作斗争，但是作为一个深刻的人，它将仍然非常熟悉努力将像以往一样丑陋。

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