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PRE-WARNING OF THE UPLAND ECOSYSTEM IN THE THREE-GORGE RESERVOIR AREA

机译：三峡库区旱地生态系统预警

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摘要

The characters of the upland ecosystem in the Three-Gorge Reservoir (TGR) area are presented. An index system and the mathematical models for pre-warning of the upland ecosystem are proposed. A pre-warning analysis is made on the presumption that no major investment will be made to control and restore the upland ecosystem in the TGR area, and the conclusion is reached that the complex ecosystem and all its subsystems will be in a state of reverse evolution, and the majority of them will be in a warning status by 2010. Hosed on the analysis, an outline of strategies for optimum control of the situation is given, and the essential strategy is to keep a balance between socio-economic development and eco-environment rehabilitation.
机译：介绍了三峡水库（TGR）地区高地生态系统的特征。提出了旱地生态系统预警指标体系和数学模型。在没有对TGR地区的陆地生态系统进行控制和恢复的重大投资的前提下进行预警分析，得出的结论是，复杂的生态系统及其所有子系统将处于逆向发展状态，其中大多数将在2010年之前处于警告状态。根据分析，给出了对形势进行最佳控制的战略纲要，而基本战略是在社会经济发展与生态经济之间保持平衡。环境恢复。

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