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Heterogeneous Evacuation Responses to Storm Forecast Attributes

机译:对风暴预报属性的异构疏散响应

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摘要

This paper investigates the variation in the effects of key storm forecast factors on hypothetical evacuation decisions collected from a mail survey using a random-effects probit model with heterogeneity. Results indicate that once heterogeneity is accounted for, wind speed and landfall time are the only two significant storm forecast attributes. Further, through the use of interaction terms between the forecast attributes and individual-specific indicators, the impact of the forecast factors were found to vary significantly across race, gender, the presence of disabled persons, and geography.
机译:本文使用具有异质性的随机效应概率模型,研究了关键风暴预报因素对邮件调查收集的假设撤离决策的影响变化。结果表明,一旦考虑了异质性,风速和登陆时间是风暴预报的两个重要属性。此外,通过使用预测属性和特定于个人的指标之间的交互作用术语,发现预测因子的影响在种族,性别,残障人士和地理区域之间存在显着差异。

著录项

  • 来源
    《Natural Hazards Review》 |2011年第3期|p.117-124|共8页
  • 作者单位

    Assistant Professor, Dept. of Agricultural Economics, Mississippi State Univ., P.O. Box 5187, Mississippi State, MS 39762 (corresponding author).;

    Former Postdoctoral Research Associate, Dept. of Agricultural Economics, Mississippi State Univ., P.O. Box 5187, Mississippi State, MS 39762.;

    Associate Professor, Dept. of Fisheries and Allied Aquaculture, Auburn Univ., 203 Swingle Hall, Auburn, AL 36849;

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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

    contingent behavior; gulf coast; hurricane; random-effects probit; survey;

    机译:偶然行为;海湾海岸;飓风;随机效应概率调查;

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