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Measuring and forecasting progress towards the education-related SDG targets

机译：衡量和预测实现与教育有关的可持续发展目标的进展

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摘要

Education is a key dimension of well-being and a crucial indicator of development(1-4). The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) prioritize progress in education, with a new focus on inequality(5-7). Here we model the within-country distribution of years of schooling, and use this model to explore educational inequality since 1970 and to forecast progress towards the education-related 2030 SDG targets. We show that although the world is largely on track to achieve near-universal primary education by 2030, substantial challenges remain in the completion rates for secondary and tertiary education. Globally, the gender gap in schooling had nearly closed by 2018 but gender disparities remained acute in parts of sub-Saharan Africa, and North Africa and the Middle East. It is predicted that, by 2030, females will have achieved significantly higher educational attainment than males in 18 countries. Inequality in education reached a peak globally in 2017 and is projected to decrease steadily up to 2030. The distributions and inequality metrics presented here represent a framework that can be used to track the progress of each country towards the SDG targets and the level of inequality over time. Reducing educational inequality is one way to promote a fairer distribution of human capital and the development of more equitable human societies.Great progress toward the education-related SDG targets has been made; however, global estimates of within-country distributions of education reveal gender disparities and high levels of total inequality in many parts of the world.
机译：教育是幸福的关键方面，也是发展的关键指标（1-4）。可持续发展目标（SDGs）优先考虑教育的进展，新的重点是不平等（5-7）。在这里，我们对受教育年限的国家内部分布进行建模，并使用该模型探索自1970年以来的教育不平等现象，并预测实现与教育有关的2030年可持续发展目标的进展。我们表明，尽管世界在很大程度上有望在2030年之前实现几乎普及的初等教育，但中等和高等教育的完成率仍然面临巨大挑战。在全球范围内，到2018年，学校教育中的性别差距几乎已消除，但在撒哈拉以南非洲，北非和中东的部分地区，性别差距仍然很严重。预计到2030年，在18个国家中，女性的受教育程度将大大高于男性。教育不平等在2017年达到全球顶峰，预计到2030年将稳步下降。此处介绍的分布和不平等指标代表了一个框架，可用于追踪每个国家朝着实现SDG目标的进展以及不平等程度时间。减少教育不平等是促进人力资本更公平分配和人类社会更加公平发展的一种方式。在实现与教育有关的可持续发展目标方面取得了重大进展;然而，对国家内部教育分布的全球估计表明，世界许多地方存在性别差异和高度不平等。

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    《Nature》 |2020年第7805期|636-639|共4页
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    Univ Washington Inst Hlth Metr & Evaluat Seattle WA 98195 USA|Univ Calif Los Angeles Ctr Social Med & Humanities Los Angeles CA USA;

    Univ Washington Inst Hlth Metr & Evaluat Seattle WA 98195 USA;

    Univ Washington Inst Hlth Metr & Evaluat Seattle WA 98195 USA|Univ Penn Ctr Populat Studies Philadelphia PA 19104 USA;

    Univ Washington Inst Hlth Metr & Evaluat Seattle WA 98195 USA|Univ Washington Sch Med Dept Hlth Metr Sci Seattle WA 98195 USA;

  • 收录信息 美国《科学引文索引》(SCI);美国《工程索引》(EI);美国《生物学医学文摘》(MEDLINE);美国《化学文摘》(CA);
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