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The ozone layer: the road not taken

机译:臭氧层:未走的路

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摘要

In evaluating the cost of phasing out chlorofluorocarbons, it pays to look not only at current damage to the ozone layer but also at what might have happened had our use of these chemicals continued unimpeded. Imagine the Antarctic ozone hole bursting upon a scientific community in which concern about depletion of stratospheric ozone had faded out after the debate over supersonic aircraft in the early 1970s. What would today's atmosphere be like and what future might we expect? Does analysis of the road not taken help towards solving current or future global problems?
机译:在评估淘汰含氯氟烃的成本时,不仅要关注目前对臭氧层的破坏,而且还要关注如果我们继续不受阻碍地使用这些化学物质可能会发生的事情。想象一下,一个科学界突然爆发了南极臭氧空洞,在1970年代初关于超音速飞机的辩论之后,人们对平流层臭氧消耗的担忧逐渐消失。今天的气氛会怎样,我们可以期待什么未来?对这条道路的分析是否有助于解决当前或未来的全球性问题?

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