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Dating currency crises in emerging market economies

机译:新兴市场经济体的约会货币危机

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摘要

The first crucial step in studying currency crises empirically is to identify these crises and to date them as precisely as possible. We construct a database of currency crisis dates for 35 emerging economies for the period 1990-2016, using data at a monthly frequency to improve accuracy. We use multiple quantitative definitions, past studies, narrative and expert opinions to date the crises. We then compare the performance of individual crisis definitions versus combinations of definitions and find that the latter perform better. Lastly, we find that several definitions perform worse in floating and free falling exchange rate regimes than in fixed and intermediate regimes.
机译:研究货币危害货币的第一个至关重要的步骤是识别这些危机,并尽可能恰恰如此日期。我们在1990 - 2016年期间,使用每月频率的数据构建35个新兴经济体的货币危机日期数据库,以提高准确性。我们使用多种量化定义,过去的研究,叙述和专家意见,以显示危机。然后,我们比较个体危机定义与定义组合的表现,并发现后者表现得更好。最后,我们发现几种定义在浮动和自由下降汇率制度方面表现比固定和中级制度更糟糕。

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