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Counting the cost of coastal vulnerability

机译：计算沿海脆弱性的代价

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Significant coastal vulnerability (CV) in the United Kingdom (UK) endangers the population and the infrastructure and distorts the national economy, yet present and proposed literature only quotes previous circumstances that failed to deliver factual fiscal assessment. The current estimate models for coastal vulnerability are useful for decision-making in some magnitudes, but coastal vulnerability models need to be extended to comprise a wider choice of economic effects. These are real problems that need to be addressed for an estimation of fiscal coastal vulnerability with novel models of science and economics to limit destruction costs or spend with greater resilience. To address the current research gap, this study appraised coastal vulnerability by establishing an innovative model: a Fiscal Coastal Vulnerability Index (FCVI) with fiscal parameters by 2 Path analysis (2 PA). It identifies the coastal vulnerability hotspots in Path One (P1) and develops an FCVI and GIS maps in Path Two (P2). Primary results revealed that 11 sites across the UK (seven in England, three in Wales, and one in Scotland) were identified as fiscally vulnerable coastal areas. Identified sites currently contain 2236 billion worth of coastal vulnerability, and >100,000 people are at high risk of flooding, erosion, storm surge, and high winds. The Fiscal Coastal Vulnerability Index can be adapted depending on kind of coastal environment and used as a planning tool to establish economic susceptibility. This work explains that the methodological framework can be adjusted for any suitable coastal sites at global or regional scales, and can be used to vindicate in-depth studies for coastal defences and budget. (C) 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
机译：英国（UK）的严重沿海脆弱性（CV）危及人口和基础设施，扭曲了国民经济，但目前和提议的文献仅引用了以前未能进行实际财政评估的情况。当前的沿海脆弱性估计模型在一定程度上对决策很有用，但是沿海脆弱性模型需要扩展以包括更多的经济影响选择。这些是真正的问题，需要借助新颖的科学和经济学模型来估计沿海沿海地区的财政脆弱性，以限制破坏成本或提高抵御能力的支出。为了解决当前的研究空白，本研究通过建立一种创新模型来评估沿海地区的脆弱性：通过2路径分析（2 PA）确定具有财政参数的财政沿海地区脆弱性指数（FCVI）。它确定了路径1（P1）中的沿海脆弱性热点，并在路径2（P2）中开发了FCVI和GIS地图。初步结果显示，全英国有11个地点（在英格兰有7个，在威尔士有3个，在苏格兰有1个）被确定为财政脆弱的沿海地区。目前，已确定的地点包含价值22,360亿的沿海脆弱性，并且有100,000多人处于洪水，侵蚀，风暴潮和狂风的高风险中。可以根据沿海环境的种类来调整“沿海财政脆弱性指数”，并将其用作建立经济敏感性的计划工具。这项工作解释说，该方法学框架可以针对全球或区域范围内的任何合适的沿海站点进行调整，并且可以用来证明对海岸防御和预算的深入研究。 （C）2016 Elsevier Ltd.保留所有权利。

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