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Regime formation at the Agenda Formation stage analyzed from a futuristic plankton perspective

机译:从未来浮游生物的角度分析议程形成阶段的政权形成

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摘要

Ameliorating fisheries management is of utmost importance given the vulnerability of fisheries worldwide. International management regimes are imperative as a means to this end. Redfeed is a marine species located on the second to last level on the food web, and is a cornerstone species therein. The role of effective management of this species is of utmost importance to avoid the potential catastrophe associated with its over harvesting. The resource is still not commercially harvested, however, and its management can still be framed before a potential catastrophe occurs. Using regime and scenario theories, the regime formation process at the initial Agenda Formation stage is explored from the perspective of a future commercial harvest of this plankton. The potential of vertical movement from this stage to the next level in the process, the Negotiation stage, is considered from the vantage point of four different scenarios related to the political responses to this potential redfeed fishery in the Northeast Atlantic: Business-as-usual, Quiet Suffocation by the Politically Prioritized Svalbard Fisheries Protection Zone, Institutions; or Death by Climate Change and Improbable-but-devastating. Providing policy makers with these scenarios gives the affected decision maker a wider view and more information about the processes that can change and enhance the given situation and in turn lead to wanted or unwanted situations. It enables them to make better decisions about the given path they are interested in pursuing and which future image they preferred or want. The future is unpredictable, however, and scenarios are only possible futures.
机译:鉴于全世界渔业的脆弱性,改善渔业管理至关重要。为此,国际管理制度势在必行。 Redfeed是一种海洋生物,位于食物网的倒数第二级,是其中的基石种。有效管理该物种的作用对于避免与其过度捕捞有关的潜在灾难至关重要。但是,该资源仍未进行商业开采,并且在潜在的灾难发生之前仍可以对其进行管理。使用制度和情景理论,从该浮游生物的未来商业收获的角度探讨了议程形成初期的制度形成过程。从该阶段到下一个阶段(谈判阶段)的垂直运动的潜力,是从四种不同的情景的有利角度考虑的,这些情景与对东北大西洋这种潜在的红饲料渔业的政治反应有关:政治上优先的斯瓦尔巴特群岛渔业保护区,机构对此进行了令人窒息的窒息;或因气候变化而死亡而难以置信但具有毁灭性。为政策制定者提供这些方案,可以使受影响的决策者获得更广阔的视野,并提供有关可以更改和增强给定情况并进而导致需要或不想要的情况的流程的更多信息。它使他们能够对自己感兴趣的给定路径以及他们偏好或想要的未来形象做出更好的决策。未来是不可预测的,而场景只是可能的未来。

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  • 来源
    《Ocean & coastal management》 |2012年第9期|p.19-27|共9页
  • 作者

    Rachel Tiller;

  • 作者单位

    NTNU — Norwegian University of Science and Technology, 7491 Trondheim, Norway;

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  • 正文语种 eng
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