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Real-time storm surge and inundation forecast for very severe cyclonic storm 'Hudhud'

机译:极强气旋风暴'Hudhud'的实时风暴潮和淹没预报

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摘要

The high population density along the coastal stretch of India necessitates a real-time storm surge warning system. Keeping this in view, the Earth System Science Organization (ESSO) - Indian National Centre for Ocean Information Services (INCOIS) initiated the Storm Surge Early Warning System (SSEWS) for Indian coasts using the ADCIRC (Advanced Circulation) model. ADCIRC is a finite-element based, depth-integrated shallow water model that can be used to model storm surges and for other coastal applications. This warning system utilizes the automated Decision Support System (DSS) based on Geographic Information System (GIS) and database technology. Wind and pressure fields are generated using the Jelesinanski and Taylor dynamic wind model which make use of track forecasts from IMD. While DSS was initially tested for the very severe cyclonic storm 'Phailin' (October, 2013) in experimental mode, it was used for the first time to provide real-time storm surge and inundation forecasts during cyclone Iludhud' (October, 2014). In this paper, we highlight the performance of SSEWS during this event while comparing with observations. Forecasts from SSEWS were found to be quite promising and proving its capability.
机译:印度沿海沿线的人口密度很高,因此需要实时风暴潮预警系统。考虑到这一点,地球系统科学组织(ESSO)-印度国家海洋信息服务中心(INCOIS)使用ADCIRC(高级循环)模型为印度海岸启动了风暴潮预警系统(SSEWS)。 ADCIRC是基于有限元的深度综合浅水模型,可用于模拟风暴潮和其他沿海应用。该预警系统利用基于地理信息系统(GIS)和数据库技术的自动化决策支持系统(DSS)。风速和压力场是使用Jelesinanski和Taylor动态风模型生成的,该模型利用了IMD的跟踪预报。 DSS最初是在实验模式下针对非常严重的气旋风暴“ Phailin”(2013年10月)进行测试的,但它首次用于在“ Iludhud”气旋期间提供实时风暴潮和洪水淹没预报(2014年10月)。在本文中,我们将SSEWS在此事件期间的性能与观察结果进行了比较。 SSEWS的预测非常有前途,并证明了其功能。

著录项

  • 来源
    《Ocean Engineering》 |2017年第1期|25-35|共11页
  • 作者单位

    Earth Syst Sci Org, Indian Natl Ctr Ocean Informat Serv, Hyderabad 500090, Andhra Pradesh, India;

    Earth Syst Sci Org, Indian Natl Ctr Ocean Informat Serv, Hyderabad 500090, Andhra Pradesh, India;

    Earth Syst Sci Org, Indian Natl Ctr Ocean Informat Serv, Hyderabad 500090, Andhra Pradesh, India;

    Earth Syst Sci Org, Indian Natl Ctr Ocean Informat Serv, Hyderabad 500090, Andhra Pradesh, India;

    Earth Syst Sci Org, Indian Natl Ctr Ocean Informat Serv, Hyderabad 500090, Andhra Pradesh, India;

    Earth Syst Sci Org, Indian Natl Ctr Ocean Informat Serv, Hyderabad 500090, Andhra Pradesh, India;

    Indian Meteorol Dept, New Delhi 110003, India;

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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

    Storm surge early warning system; Inundation; Hudhud cyclone; Decision support system;

    机译:风暴潮预警系统;淹没;Hudhud飓风;决策支持系统;

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