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Intergroup Conflict and the Process of Social Change: Similar Conflicts, Different Intragroup Processes

机译：杂项冲突和社会变革过程：类似的冲突，不同的腹期流程

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摘要

Intergroup conflicts can occur in any society at any moment, radically modifying the societies experiencing them. However, two societies experiencing highly similar intergroup conflicts can have very different consequences. Some may be plunged into dramatic social change-a state in which a rapid event ruptures the social and normative structures and highly threatens the cultural identity-whereas other societies are not. In this article, we argue that similar intergroup conflicts can result in different societal states because of each society's initial societal state. Specifically, we use a Bayesian approach to the process of social change, which considers the state of a society before an intergroup conflict occurs (a priori societal state). We further argue that these a priori societal states are associated with different levels of resource availability. Societies experiencing an intergroup conflict from a prior societal state associated with resource abundance can actively shape the process of social change; they can better avoid the structural and normative rupture as well as the cultural identity threat. In contrast, societies beginning the process in a societal state with a resource deficit cannot modify the process and thus experience the full force of the event.
机译：在任何时候，任何社会都会发生杂项冲突，从根本修改体验他们的社会。然而，两个经历过高类似的交流冲突的社会可能会产生截然不同的后果。有些人可能会陷入戏剧性的社会变革 - 一种国家的迅速事件破坏了社会和规范结构，并且极大地威胁着文化认同 - 而其他社会则不是。在本文中，我们认为，由于每个社会的初始社会状态，相似的互动冲突可能导致不同的社会国家。具体而言，我们利用贝叶斯方针来实现社会变革的过程，这将在发生互动冲突之前考虑社会的状态（先验的社会州）。我们进一步争辩说，这些先验的社会国家与不同水平的资源可用性相关联。经历与资源丰富相关的先前社会州的互动冲突的社会可以积极地塑造社会变革的过程;他们可以更好地避免结构和规范性破裂以及文化身份威胁。相比之下，在具有资源缺陷的社会状态下开始该过程的社会不能修改该过程，从而体验事件的全部力量。

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