ADAPTIVE BALANCE OF GLOBAL DEVELOPMENT PROCESSES

I. E. Timchenko; E. M. Igumnova; S. M. Solodova

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ADAPTIVE BALANCE OF GLOBAL DEVELOPMENT PROCESSES

机译：全球发展过程的自适应平衡

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We study the processes of global self-regulation of Earth's biota (GAIA-theory) by applying the method of adaptive balance of causes proposed by the authors. By using, as an example, the Daisy World model constructed by this method, we reveal the phenomenon of preservation of the mean temperature of Earth's surface due to the presence of the vegetation cover. We develop an integral model of global natural, social, and economic processes in which the World Ocean is one of the factors regulating the amount of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere. The decrease in the amount of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere caused by the GA/A-effects increases the number of hurricanes and floods on the Earth. As a result, the levels of ecological and social hazards for the mankind become much higher. To eliminate these threats, it is necessary to intensify the processes of self-organization of the society realized via the improvement of education, development of science, and global regulation of the competition for natural resources. We present the results of numerical experiments performed by using the model demonstrating possible scenarios of global development with regard for the processes of self-organization of the society.

机译：我们通过应用作者提出的原因的自适应平衡方法，研究了地球生物区系的全球自我调节过程（GAIA理论）。通过使用以此方法构造的雏菊世界模型为例，我们揭示了由于植被覆盖而导致地球表面平均温度保持不变的现象。我们开发了一个全球自然，社会和经济过程的完整模型，其中世界海洋是调节大气中温室气体数量的因素之一。由GA / A效应引起的大气中温室气体数量的减少增加了地球上的飓风和洪水的数量。结果，对人类的生态和社会危害程度变得更高。为了消除这些威胁，有必要加强通过改善教育，科学发展以及对自然资源竞争的全球监管而实现的社会自我组织过程。我们介绍了通过使用该模型进行的数值实验的结果，该模型展示了有关社会自我组织过程的全球发展的可能方案。

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《Physical Oceanography》 |2007年第3期|173-189|共17页
作者
I. E. Timchenko; E. M. Igumnova; S. M. Solodova;
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Marine Hydrophysical Institute, Ukrainian Academy of Sciences, Sevastopol;

Marine Hydrophysical Institute, Ukrainian Academy of Sciences, Sevastopol;

Marine Hydrophysical Institute, Ukrainian Academy of Sciences, Sevastopol;

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ADAPTIVE BALANCE OF GLOBAL DEVELOPMENT PROCESSES

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