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PREDICTION OF SAFETY LEVEL OF LOW-HEAD AND OWNERLESS HYDRAULIC STRUCTURES

机译:低头和无主液压结构安全水平的预测

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摘要

Methods of systems reliability theory are applied to the results of an expert inspection of more than 1000 low-head hydraulic power systems in the Moscow region. The rates of failure of homogeneous earth dams are estimated. A state graph of a hydraulic structure, represented as a system that passes through discrete states from a normal to a dangerous level without maintenance or repair, is proposed. The constant failure rates for these states are calculated. The probabilistic characteristics of the safety level of low-head earth dams are predicted.
机译:系统可靠性理论的方法应用于莫斯科地区1000多个低头液压动力系统的专家检查结果。估计均匀土坝失效率。提出了一种液压结构的状态图,表示为从正常到危险水平的离散状态通过而无需维护或修复的系统。计算这些状态的恒定失效率。预测了低头坝安全水平的概率特性。

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