The Forecast for Scientific and Technological Development in Russia: How Realistic Is This Mechanism of Strategic Planning?

A.V. Alekseev

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The Forecast for Scientific and Technological Development in Russia: How Realistic Is This Mechanism of Strategic Planning?

机译：俄罗斯科技发展预测：战略规划机制有多现实？

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The article discusses the theoretical and methodological foundations for "The Long-Term Forecast of Scientific and Technological (S&T) Development in Russia until 2030" and argues that its authors have failed to fully conceptualize the modern global economy (thereby misrepresenting Russia's long-term development interests and characteristic challenges), which casts doubt on the methodological foundation for the project. The S&T Forecast's orientation toward the tactical (economic) goals of scientific-technical activity reduces its value as a strategic planning tool. A more consistent application of the systematic approach to scientific-technological development as an integrated national economic complex would significantly improve the S&T Forecast.

机译：本文讨论了“俄罗斯的长期科技（科技（科技）发展的理论和方法论基础，直到2030年”，并认为其作者未能充分概念化现代全球经济（从而歪曲俄罗斯的长期发展兴趣和特色挑战），对项目的方法论基础表示怀疑。科技预测对科技活动的战术（经济）目标的方向降低了其作为战略规划工具的价值。作为综合国家经济综合体作为综合国家经济综合体的系统方法更加一致地应用了科技发展将显着改善科技预测。

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来源
《Problems of Economic Transition》 |2020年第3期|202-213|共12页
作者
A.V. Alekseev;
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作者单位

Institute of Economics and Industrial Engineering Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences;

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原文格式 PDF
正文语种 eng
中图分类
关键词
forecast; strategy; scenarios of scientific-technological development; global economy; market mechanism; institutions; government regulation;

机译：预报;战略;科技发展的情景;全球经济;市场机制;机构;政府监管;

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5. Soviet and Russian strategic planning guidance, 1976-1993. [D] . Nguyen, Hung Phi. 1995

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The Forecast for Scientific and Technological Development in Russia: How Realistic Is This Mechanism of Strategic Planning?

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